People's Pilot, Volume 6, Number 13, Rensselaer, Jasper County, 17 September 1896 — Page 6
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: Asking you to bear In mind, as before Stated, that no general law in economics oan be learned except by studying broad and large results over considerable periods of time, I ask you to note bow beautifully this chart exemplifies to the eye the effects of the rise of gold. The line of gold is not uniform, but its general direction is upward. The lines of silver and commodities are not entirely regular, but their general tendency is downward. The correspondence between the values of commodities and silver is very remarkable and ought to be very interesting to gentlemen who deny the appreciation of gold .and declare that there is no parallel between the prices of commodities in general and silver. You will notice that in 1890, for example, there was a sudden rise of silver and of these commodities. Naturally sillier rose in a more pronounced degree than the other commodities, because in that year there was pending in congress a proposition to rehabilitate the white metal and snake it as good as gold. As soon as there was a likelihood of the restoration of its full money functions it began to mount toward the point of parity, and as a necessary consequence gold began to fall. Chart C exhibits upon one diagram the course of prices in England as shown by The Economist and Sauerbeck tables, and in the United States as shown by the Aldrich report, already referred to. The prices are in gold, of course. The United States prices are shown in the heavy dark lines marked A, and the two English lines are indicated by their appropriate letters. The general correspondence of the three is very striking. American prices started higher than English prices and have remained so. The action of our protective tariff in stimulating production, restricting competition very largely to our own producers and upon our own standard of living and keeping out own markets for those producers has justified the policy of its advocates, of whom I claim to be as faithful as any, but it has not availed to withstand the constricting Influence of the gold standard, whose sway is as “broad and general as the air.” Prices had fallen in the United States about 28 per cent by 1891, and by 1895 the fall was certainly 33% per cent or more, so that the purchasing power of gold in this country is fully 60 per cent greater than it was in 1872-3.
CHART C.-FALL OF PRICES IN ENGLAND AND THE UNITED STATES SINCE 1872*.
United States.—A —, based on senate report No. 1394, Fifty-second congress, second eee«on, commonly called the Aldrich report. 223 commodities. See part 1, page 91. (Gold prices.) England —S —, based on Sauerbeck’s tables adjusted to Aldrich plan. See report, part 1, page 225. 45 commodities. E =, based on Economist’s tables adjusted to Aldrich plan. See report, part 1, page 226. 22 commodities.
The enormous fall of prices in the gold standard world I have proved. Gentlemen in this debate may hereafter seek some oUx;r explanation for the fact than that which I offer as chiefly accounting for it, but nobody will deny the fact. It is an open and notorious fact, whose significance, if preponderantly due to the single gold standard, challenges the Intellect, the conscience and the patriotism of this nation. Contrast it for a moment with this: The purchasing power of silver in silver using countries is today almost the same as in 1873. Consul Wetmore, nt Shanghai, shows this by the following index numbers based on 20 staple commodities on tba Chinese markets: Aggregate value Silver of twenty coimuodi- value of ties, in silver. cold. }ghj l.ffcO 2,100 Jgg 2,102 2,215 --- 1,925 2,275 Jg« 1.883' 2,870 J&»7 1,774 2,648 »£* 1.701 2,730 And the royal commission of 1888 declared that the purchasing power of silver In India had not fallen. Sir, there is ample reason why prices began falling about the year 1873 and have kept falling with more or less regularity ever since. Down to that period gold and silver shared together the functions of ultimate money among the groat commercial nations of the world. Together they formed one vast money reservoir, whose aggregated contents measured all exchange values and constituted the ultimate solution of all representative and credit money. England’s action in going upon the gold standard in 1816 had not impaired this relation, but the sudden and nearly contemporaneous adoption of that standard about 1873 by several jcading governments, followed st frequent intervals by others, nmdo a sudden and tremendous lessening of the mint demand for silver and threw upon the volume of gold the double burden of sustaining the credits and the redemption functions formerly borne by both metals jointly. This added enormously to the strain upon gold, rendering It relatively scarcer and more difficult to obtain, increasing almost beyond conception the demand for it, while its supply did not materially alter. The inevitable nssult was to raise the value of gold, to mate it constantly necessary to give more •nd more of all commodities, on the average, to get gold. The full effect was not folt all at once in 1873. The steps in the process were progressive, and the effects
were correspondingly bo. Prices began i falling with the cause and have fallen and are falling as the cause continues and intensifies. The following is a fairly good statement of these successive stages in the process of squeezing the expanding energies of the nineteenth century down to the narrowing measure of the gold standard: From Bimetallism to Gold. 1872. —Norway and Sweden substitute the gold standard for the silver standard. 1878.—The United States, while on a paper basis and looking longingly toward resumption of specie payments, adopts the gold standard, although sliver at the time is worth more in the market than gold, qnd although there has been no public demand for such action, the people and nearly every man in public life being ignorant of the real scope and object of the act, no amendment to which striking the standard sliver dollar from our coinage can to this day be found of record. Thus on resuming specie payments In 1879 we became an aggressive scrambler for a share of the gold in the world, which was now becoming more and more the object of the eager pursuit of nations. Between 1877 and 1879 we absorbed over $560,000,000 of gold as against about $55,000,000 In the preceding 11 years. 1873. —Germany changes from the sliver standard to the single gold standard, making a great demand for gold, so that by May, 1881, she £ad coined over $414,000,000 worth of it, and throwing upon the market for sale as bullion large masses of her worn and demonetized sliver coin, selling by 1879 more than 7,100,000 pounds weight of fine sliver. 1878.—Belgian parliament authorizes the government to suspend the free coinage of sliver. 1878-1874.—France and the Latin union (Italy, Switzerland, Belgium and Greece, besides France) suspend the free coinage of silver, and France substitutes the gold standard for the double standard. 1875.—Holland formally demonetizes sliver, having suspended Its free coinage in 1873, and adopts the single gold standard for herself and her East India colonies. 1873-1875. —The Bank of France retires $350,000,000 worth of paper and adds greatly to its gold reserve. 1878.—The United States enacts the Bland law, compelling the government to
purchase from 12,000,000 to 84,000,000 worth of silver monthly, hut to add it to the money stock not as primary money, but, under tho construction placed on it by our government, virtually as a token coinage measurable in gold, thus increasing enormously the strain on gold. This law, moreover, completely nullified the main principle of bimetallism, which de pends upon the right of the debtor to elect In which metal be will pay by enacting that silver should be legal tender except where otherwise provided In the contract. This gave the creditor the determination of the metal of payment and virtually completed rhe demonetization of sliver. 1879.—The United States resumes specie payments and on a single metal—gold. 1879.—Austrla-Huagary suspends the free coinage of silver. 1883.—Italy resumes specie payments on a gold basis and borrows $86,(W0,600 In gold to do it with. 1890.—The United States passes tho Sherman sliver purchase law, continuing the vicious principle of tho Bland act. 1890- —The Imperial bank of Russia Increases Its gold reserve by $120,000,000 and begins a policy of hoarding gold, which has gone on eyer since: 1891- —Austria-Hungary adopts the gold standard and becomes a borrower of gold to an enormous amount. 1892.—Roumunlu adopts the gold standard. 1898.—India closes her mints to the oolnI age of silver. i 1894-1895.—Chile and Brazil adopt the single gold standard and join the ever fiercer struggle for the lessening supply of real money. 1895, February.—The United States begins the unhappy and humllitating procedure, apparently become chronic If wo are to preserve the single gold standard, of borrowing millions in times of peace wherewith to pay tribute to the despotism of gold. Why will gentlemen persist in shutting , their eyes to the plainest of evidence? The I great fall of prices in the gold standard i world since 1873 is as indisputable as any physical fact In nature, and that it is chiefly due to the appreciation of gold seems to me as conclusively established as the law of gravitation. In England, where the gold standard was born and where its operation Is to fill her creditor coffers with unearned Increments cf the wealth of all debtor countries, no mystery is made of It. The World In Bondage to Money. Moreover, so clearly are the observed effects of the gold standard conformable to the economic law I have tried to state that they have been foretold at different times by men learned in the science. Many years ago, befojre the nations had become crazed by the misunderstood example of England and bad not so generally gone to work to subdue the world to a money bondage, Jevons wrote as follows:
THE PEOPLE’S PILOT, RExNSSELAER. IND.. THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17, 1896.
“I am far from denying that If the Italian government decide to carry Into effect M. Luzzatti’s threat of buying gold at all hazards, and if the like course be taken by the United States and France, not to speak of Germany, there might be considerable disturbance of values for the time. But is It likely that such proceedings will be taken by rational statesmen and rationt*l parliaments? It is really too absurd to suppose that any country will insist upon having a gold currency at any cost.” Alas for the fallibility of genius! Even Jevons could not foresee that so many parliaments would prove irrational, and that great countries should be so smitten of the gold standard he advocated as to pay their lifeblood for it. But no prophecy of economic effects from observed causes has probably ever been made so unique and startling In its Insight and accuracy as that of Ernest Seyd, the famous bimetallist, who In 1871 wrote: “It Is a great mistake to suppose that the adoption of the gold valuation by other states besides England will be beneficial. It will only lead to the destruction of the monetary equilibrium hitherto existing and cause a fall in the value of silver, from which England’s trade and the Indian silver valuation will suffer more than all other interests, grievous as the general decline of prosperity all over the world will be. The strong doctrinism existing in England as regards the gold valuation is so blind that when the time of depression sets In there will be this special feature—the economical authorities of the country will refuse to listen to the cause here foreshadowed; every possible attempt will be made to prove that the decline of commerce is due to all sorts of causes and Irreconcilable matters The workman and his strikes will be the first convenient target; then speculation and overtrading will have their turn. Later on, when foreign nations, unable to pay in sliver, have recourse to protection; when a number of other secondary causes develop themselves, then many would be wise men will have the opportunity of pointing to specific reasons which, In their eyes, account for the falling off in every branch of trade. Many other allegations will be made, totally Irrelevant to the ma'ln issue, but satisfactory to the moralizing tendency of financial writers. The great danger of the time will then be that among all this confusion and strife England’s supremacy in commerce and manufactures may go backward to an extent which cannot be redressed when the real cause becomes recognized and the natural remedy is applied.” Nothing could better show on what just philosophical principles bimetallism rests than this picture in 1871 of events to begin with demonetization in 1873 and continue until now and as much longer as we shall permit. If the test of science Is prediction and verification, surely the evils of gold monometallism are scientifically condemned.
Just before the monetary conference at Brussels, in 1892, the late Dr. Soetbeer, the eminent German philosopher, wrote, foretelling the cataclysm of the year 1898 and subsequent evils: “I fear that if the English government, on the occasion of the forthcoming international monetary conference, should refuse to submit or support practicable propositions destined to extend considerably the use of silver as legal tender there will probably result a further Incalculable depreciation In the value of the metals and a very serious appreciation of gold, followed by disastrous consequences.” Yet, sir, men will persist in referring the fall of prices since 18T3 to the multiplication of inventions and to cheapened cost of production. It is no Impugnment of my argument to admit that this may account for a relatively small proportion of the fall. But, sir, it Is a very small proportion. Between 1850 and 1873 prices gradually and generally rose, a fact nobody will dispute, and yet I assort with perfect confidence that -between those dates greater Improvements In productive processes, compared with the condition at the beginning of the period, were, made than between 1873 and the present time. Gentlemen cannot have forgotten the marvelous mechanical exhibit at the centennial exposition, practically all of which related to the period In question. By far the greatest amount of this accomplishment belongs, so far as its commercial and productive aspect is concerned, to the period from about 1850. By that time the steam engine had been perfected. The old Newcomen engine of 179 with a “duty” of 5,500,000 foot pounds per one bushel of Welsh coal had developed into the improved Cornish engine of 1850 with a ‘‘duty” of 60,000,000 foot pounds. The factory system had come into systematic operation—the greatest revolution in production In the history of Industry—so that when England, about 1850, changed the tariff policy under which she had grown groat and started out to impose free trade upon the world it is estimated that her labor saving machinery represented the capacity of 450,000,000 pairs of human hands. History of Industry. In agriculture the period in question saw the perfection of the plow, the seeding machine, the grain drill and the mowing machine. The first successful reaper was McCormick’s, Invented In 1834, improved in 1847 and first attracting general attention at the London world’s fair of 1851, where it took the gold medal, and from which time It came rapidly Into use. Between 1851 and 1876 nearly 3,000 patents were taken out In this country alone for harvesters and tbeir attachments. The thrashing machine was brought to perfection In 1853. The self binder belongs to a later period, but Its effect and that of Improvements on the Inventions named bad nothing like the significance for agriculture which the devices that oame In from 1850 to 1873 had. To this period also belongs the beginning of scientific agriculture and the use of imported and manufactured fertilizers on a large scale, the systematic and general brooding of cattle, horses and sheep and the inauguration and considerable development of the cheese factory system. In manufactures it is sufficient to name the leading processes and machines that had become commercially effective in this period—the cotton gin and spinning jenny, with tbeir principal attachments and improvements; the power loom, calico printing and color weaving; the hot blast in iron manufacture, jierfected by 1.845, by which many previously refractory ores were rendered reducible and the cost of smelting was diminished nearly half; the steam hammer, rolling mill and turning lathe; the bessemer steel process and the chief Improvements in producing and refining iron, the casting, forging and rolling of the heated metal and the turning and planing of the cold metal; the jack, the slotting, key grooving, milling and shaping machines; the process of assembling, or thq making of interchangeable parts of machines, permitting the vastly cheai>er manufacture of articles like watches, clocks and firearms; the sewing machine, dating effectively from about 1850, between when and 1876 about 2,000 patents
connected with it were granted in the United States; the pnuematlc caisson in engineering, the centrifugal pump, tunneling and drilling machinery, and the use of compressed air In connection with them; scales and elevator machinery, gang and circular saws and sawmill machinery generally, about the only new departure dating from since that time being the use of the band saw on a large scale; turning machinery, particularly Blanchard’s spoke lathe for turning irregular forms; general woodworking machinery for planing mills and furniture factories, washing machines and knitting machines, the principal kinds of boot and shoe machinery, especially the McKay sewing machine, which, between 1861, when it was perfected, and 1876, had made 225,000,000 pairs of shoes in the United States alone; the Westinghouse air brake and Its various adaptations, eleotrop Luing, lithography and photolithography, optical instruments, musical instruments, ice machines, the growth of India rubber manufacture, the Goodyear vulcanising process, dating from 1844; machinery used in sugar refining and In paper, porcelain and glass manufacture, stereotyping and electrotyping processes, Bruce’s and other type casting machines, folding and addressing machines, the Gordon job press and the Adams, Campbell, Walter, Bullock and Hoe perfecting printing presses. In this connection remember that there Is no branch of Industry where production has cheapened In any degree approaching that of the mining of gold in recent years. But cheapened gold mining does not seem to have cheapened gold compared with other commodities to any alarming extent. Effects of a Changing Standard. The method of operation and the effect of a changing money standard are not sufficiently understood. A<ny convenient medium of exchange to which priceshad once accommodated themselves would discharge sufficiently well the mere function of a medlun>of exchange. But, when viewed as a measure of the values of all other thing?, it is of the very greatest importance that the money unit remain as nearly unvarying as possible in value over long periods of time. When a man loans another a sum of money, he loans a certain quantity of purchasing power, for that is what money Is. Now, absolute justice would require that when the loan is repaid it should stand for the same purchasing power as before. But If, meantime, money has depreciated—-that is, if prices have risen—the same nominal sum when repaid has less purchasing power than when borrowed, and the lender or creditor really receives less than he loaned, the borrower or debtor profiting by the difference. On the other hand, if money rises in purchasing power between the making of the loan and the repayment, so that the borrower has to find more commodities with which to buy the money to pay back than the money would buy for him when he borrowed it, then he loses the difference, and the money lender makes it.
Now, in either case the changing standard takes something from one man without his deserving to lose it and gives it to another who has no right to it. In either case it is a silent robbery. The ideal standard would preserve the rights of both debtors and creditors. But if a deliberate choice had to be made between a gradually falling and a gradually rising standard all writers of authority agree, and it is consonant with common sense, that morally, economically, politically and socially the falling standard would be preferable. Its inevitable losses fall on the creditor, the lender, who can better than the debtor endure its effects, and it encourages enterprise, while the certain hardships of the rising standard fall on the borrower, the debtor, the investor, the captain of industry, who cannot so well sustain the burden, who has no surplus, but is most frequently wiped from the face of the industrial world by the vanishing of the margin between his property and the automatically enlarging lien upon it. In the latter case the absolutely unavoidable result must be, if tho evil is permitted to run, that all property will eventually belong to those who shall control the ’ultimate money of the world, and thrift and enterprise, if enterprise and thrift can belong to a race of slaves, would plan and save and toll to further fatten the overfed fatness of their masters. This is no exaggeration of language. It is the speech of truth and soberness. Said Sir Arthur James Balfour, the real head of the present Conservative government of England, an earnest bimetallist and one of the profoundost thinkers in Europe, in a speech at Manchester Oct. 27, 1892: ‘•But of all conceivable systems of currency that system is assuredly the worst which gives you a standard steadily, continuously, indefinitely appreciating, and which by that very fact throws a burden upon every man of enterprise, upon every man who desires to promote the agricultural or the industrial resources of the country and benefits no human being whatever but the owner of fixed debts in gold.” Falling prices of agricultural products deprive the farmer of the means of buying his usual conveniencesand necessities, and these accumulate on the hands of the manufacturer and retailer, who in turn curtail expenses to the uttermost, discharging labor, which then loses its power to consume, and limiting tbeir own consumption to the barest needs. Thus farmer, manufacturer, tradesman, transporter, laborer, all lose patronage and employment, while taxes, interest and principal of mortgages, fixed charges, bonded indebtedness and rents are constantly and remorselessly measuring off increasing equivalences in all human products. Under such circumstances there is no Inducement to enterprise or to investment in producing industries. No man wants to borrow money to use in a business in which the fall of prices is sure to eat up his profits. On the other hand, the man with money for tho same reason does not want to put it into business, but prefers either to invest it in gilt edge securities or let it lie idle and grow. This collects the money in the largo financial centers and emphasizes the absolute power of the money lender, who must be sought in hie lair, and who can make his own terms wtth borrowers. It is a bad symptom when “breeding” money, to use Bhylock’s phrase, is regarded as better business policy than embarking it in productive industry. The results of an appreciating standard are so hidden in the very processes of ordinary business that until we stop to look carefully for them we are not aware bow serious—nay, bow fatal—they maj* become. My time will permit only a few illustrations. Between 1874 and 1885 gold appreciated so that the holders of the public debt of England could buy in the latter year £200,000,000 worth more of all commodities on the average with the principal of the debt as it was in 1874 than they oould have bought with it in 1874. In other words, the property and industry of England were robbed of $1,000,000,000 in 11 years and a present made of it to the holders of her bonds. The Manufacturer of Feb. 1, 1896, shows that the gold standard has presente 1
r-LAdsh trade since 1890 with a gratuity of nearly $250,000,000; also that the value of farm live stock in the United States has, fallen In three years $622,000,000. The United States paid off about $750,000,000 of her debt between 1870 and 1884,’ yet, as President Andrews has shown, if we reckon it in the eight commodities, beef, corn, wheat, oats, pork, cotton, coal and bar iron, the debt was nearly 50 per cent larger afterward than before. j It is said that in 1866 we could have; paid the national debt of this country with 14,000,000 bales of cotton. In 1894 it would have taken 51,000,000 bales to pay ; what remained due, although meantime we bad paid 94,000,000 bales on It in prin-, cipal and interest. In 1866 we could have paid it with 1,000,000,000 bushels of wheat. Last fall we still owed 2,000,000,000 bushels, after paying 5,000,000,000 bushels in principal and Interest. The Single Standard Measured. The burden of the gold standard on the world could be fully measured only in blood and sweat and tears. It is pertinent to this discussion, sir, to answer briefly a contention constantly re- ! peated by the opponents of the restoration of silver—that silver has fallen because of its enormous overproduction. I do not wish to appear dogmatic, but Ido say that this argument is absolutely without foundation. It has been a thousand times refuted, but continues to reappear in every discussion as fresh as ever and apparently unconscious of its discredit. The famous senior senator from Ohio (Mr. Sherman), In a public speech in his state a year ago, lent the support of his high name to this profound error, and in substance It restated by the distinguished gentleman from Maine (Mr. Dingley) in opening this debate. I cannot hope to stop the circulation of this convenient and serviceable assertion, but I can easily show that it is utterly without foundation. The following table shows the world’s production of gold and silver (coinage value) since 1792. I have added to the table as cited the correct figures for 1893 and 1894: PRODUCTION OF GOLD AND SILVER IN THE WORLD, 1792 TO 1892, COPIED FROM UNITED STATES SENATE REPORT NO. 235, PAGE 103, COINAGE LAWS OP THE UNITED STATES, 1792 TO 1894. Silver (oolnGold. Ing value). 1792-1800.. 1106,407,000 $328,860,000 1801-10 118,162,000 871,677,000 1811-20 76,068,000 224,786,000 1821-30. 94,479,000 191,444,000 1831-40 134,841,000 247,980,000 1841-48 291,144,000 259.520,000 1849 37,100,000 89,000,000 1850 i 44,450,000 89,000,000 1851 67,600,000 40,000,000 1852 132,750,000 40,600,000 1853 155,450,000 40,600,000 1854 127,450,000 40,600,000 1855 135,075,000 40,600,000 1856 147,600,000 40,650,000 1857 123,275,000 40,650,000 1858 124,650,000 40,650,000 1859 124,850,000 40,750,000 1860, 119,250,000 40,800,000 1861 113,800.000 44,700,000 1862 107,750,000 45,200,000 1863 106,950,000 49,200,000 1864 113,000,000 51,700,000 1865 120,200,000 51,950,000 1866 121,100,000 50,750,000 1867 104,025,000 54,225,060 1868 109,025,000 50,225,000 1869 . 106,225,000 47,500,000 1870 100,850,600 51,575,000 1871 107,060,000 61,050,000 I 1872 99,600,000 65,250,000 1 1873 96,200,000 81,800,000 1874 90,750,600 71,500,000 187597,500,000 80,500,000 1876 103,700,000 87,600,000 1877 114,000,000 81,000,000 1878 119,000,000 95,000,000 1879 109,0Qp,000 96,000,000 1880 106,500,000 96,700,000 1881 103,000,000 102,000,000 1882 102,000,000 111,800,000 1883 95,400,000 115,800,000 1884 101,700,000 105,500,000 1885 108,400,000 118,500,600 1886 106,000,000 120,600,000 1887 105,775,000 124,281,000 1888 110,197,000 140,706,060 1889 123,489,000 162,159,000 1890 118,849,000 172,235,000 1891 120,184,000 180,447,000 1892 138,860,000 196,450,000 1893 157,228,000 209,165,000 1894 181,510,000 214,381,000 T0ta1556,001,254,000 $5,501,075,000 Thus in the 103 years ending In 1894 the production of gold has exceeded that of sliver by $500,000,000. It must be borne in mind that a disproportionate production for any one year or a few successive years in the case of the precious metals Is far less significant as affecting relative value than would a similar disporportion ba in any other kind of commodities. The metals are so durable and their existing mass so large compared to the production of any one year that the value of the whole will show little variation. The disproportionate production,
to have any visible effect, must continue long enough to change materially the relative bulk or mass of the whole supply in existence. The following table shows bow barren must be the attempt to connect the fall of silver with an alleged disproportionate production: Production Production of gold. of silver. 1782-1848 $821,680,000 $1,624,217,000 1849-1852 1,570,950,000 573,800,000 1863-1873 1,120,175,000 615,225,000 1874-1894 2,419,048,000 2,687,888,000 HIGHEST AND LOWEST VARIATIONS IN MARKET RATIO. 1793-1848,..., 16.25 to I—ls1 —15 to 1 1849-1862 15.78 to 1—15.19 to 1 1868-1873 15.92 to 1—15.87 to 1 1874-1894 82.56 to 1—16.17 to 1 In the first period twice as much silver as gold was p reduced; in the second, three times as much gold its silver; in the third, twice as much gold us silver; tn the fourth, only 10 per cent more silver than gold. Yet during the enormously disproportionate production of the first three periods all the variations' in the market ratio are embraced within IM points, while in the last period, when production was almost identical in both metals, the ratio sank
more than 16 points. To say that this 1 per cent difference caused such vast disturbance, while differences hundreds of times greater caused no disturbance at all, is to do violence to the primary suggest tions bf the reason. Note upon the following chart (to which I shall hereafter refer for another purpose) how the fail of silver began with the concerted legislative assaults upon it and continued by preclpitous decline as those assaults were repeated and consider, for example, how steep the decline was between 1873 and 1880, although those years the gold production was $836,650,000 and the silver production only $690,1(50,000. Now, sir, I ask the attention of gentlemen to chart D, which Is the last one I shall exhibit. It is a chart which, in my judgment, Is absolutely unanswerable on the single gold theory. Some of Its arrangement is original, but the main Idea is drawn from a document many will recognize. Ido not know whether lam correctly Informed, but I understand that a distinguished gentleman is to follow me with the purpose of answering this argument. I hope he can. Ido not say that it Is unanswerable. I simply say that I am stating propositions which seem to me like axioms, and that if the gentleman who follows me can show I am wrong be will at least have made one convert from a most pernicious error. On this chart the production of silver In any given period covered by it is taken as the space between the zero line and the silver line (marked S) and the production of gold during the same period Is indicated by the colored ground. From this it will appear that from 1800 to 1810 about 32 per cent as much gold as silver was produced; from 1810 to 1820 about 82 per cent as much gold as silver; from 1820 to 1830 about 49 per cent as much gold as silver; from 1830 to 1840 about 55 per cent as much gold as silver; from 1840 to 1850 about 12% per cent mora gold than silver; from 1850 to 1855 about 4160 per cent more gold than silver; from 1855 to 1860 about 250 per cent more gold than silver; from 1860 to 1865 about 166% per cent more gold than silver; from 1865 to 1870 about 130 per cent more gold than sliver; from 1870 to 1875 about 41 per cent more gold than silver; from 1875 to 1880 about 11 per cent more gold than silver; from 1880 to 1885 about 83 per cent as much gold as silver and from 1885 to the present time about 75 per cent as much gold as silver. This table also shows that from 1800 to 1820, when about one-third as much gold as silver was produced, but while there were In the world of coin and bullion from 32 to 33 tons (ounces would do as well) of silver to one ton of gold, you could go into the market and buy an ounce of gold for 15.55 ounces of silver, and that from 1820 to 1872 while production oscillated as we have seen, and while the relative number of tons of silver In the world’s stock was all the time becoming less in proportion to the stock of gold, falling from 31.1 tons of silver to 1 of gold to about 22 tons of silver to 1 of gold, still the market price remained closely by the ratio established by the open mints of France, but that when the onslaught on-silverwas commenced in 1873, and the mints were shut in Its face, notwithstanding that production has continued from that day to this nearer equal . than at any time in 100 years, and though the bulk of the world’s stock of silver in tons has for years been almost exactly the old mint and market ratio—namely, from 18.0 to 16.1 tons of silver to 1 ton of gold, yet the market price of silver as measured in gold has constantly fallen, until in December, 1894, you could have bought for one ounca.of gold 34 ounces of silver, and the market price today is about 32 to I. No man can look that chart in the face and then say that it is the “enormous overproduction of silver that has lowered the price. ” It is legislation, foolish, al- ■ most criminal legislation, that has done this thing. Fall o* Commodities. I undertake to say that if this chart is true there should be an explanation forthcoming from the gentlemen who have declared that overproduction of silver is the reason of its fall in price. And there is no explanation of this fact, of this colossal fact, of this to me inexplicable fact (except on one basis, which I shall next mention) that during the period when the bulk ratio between silver and gold wtfi rising from 32 to 1 to 16 to 1 the market price fell from 16 to 1 to 34 to 1. The only explanation that I can give is this: That the open mints of France afforded a channel through which the two metals could and did equably flow, according to the demands of trade, in this ultimate money, the one metal or the other predominating according to the demands of commerce and exchange, making of the
two metals one ultimate money substance of final redemption. Now, one word more, and I shall sit down, for I have abused your patience. I wish to say only this ip conclusion—that the condition in which the suffering gold standard world today finds itself is one that in my opinion calls loudly for remedy calls loudly upon the statesmanship of this' country, calls loudly and I pray not hopelessly upon the patriotism, upon the intelligence, upon the courage of the splendid leaders of t|ie grand old Republican party if we have subh left, and I believe we have. Sir, if a man denies that these things are true, then he may believe in the perpetuation of the present system, but if he believes that this picture, which I have endeavored to show, of the continual fall of commodities an<of the rise in gold, and the ruinous effects of it, are due to the fact that part of the ultimate money substance of the world has been taken away by law, he cannot believe in its perpetuation. He cannot supinely submit to its continuance. Ho will arise against it and help put it aside. I must not forget, sir, that I promised to say something about wages. I am prompt to admit that the great Republican
