Jasper County Democrat, Volume 15, Number 51, Rensselaer, Jasper County, 28 September 1912 — MEAN SWEEP FOR WILSON [ARTICLE]

MEAN SWEEP FOR WILSON

Democratic Gains in Vermont and Maine Impressive. OTHER PARTIES IN PLIGHT. Third Termers to Poll Their Entire Strength From the Rapidly Thinning Republican Ranke That Taft Will Carry but Two States, Roosevelt None.

That the results of the state electidns In Vermont and Maine mean a trenien dous Democratic victory in November is freely admitted by all except the bitterest partisans. Political experts have done much analyzing, and some claim to bave reached novel conclusions. But these facts stand out:

On Monday, Sept, 9, 1912, the Republican and third term parties combined elected William T. Haines governor of Maine over Frederick W. Plaisted, the present Democratic incumbent, by 3,023 plurality; in 1908, a presidential year, a Republican was elected gover nor by 7,053 plurality; iu 1901 the plu rality was 25,800. and in 1900 it was 34,132. In other words, iu twelve years the Democrats have cut down the Republican plurality iu state elec tions by 31,109. In this period the Democratic vote has increased from 39,000 to GB.OOO. whereas the Republican vote has de creased from 74,000 to 71,000. The Democratic vote of this year exceeds that of September, 1908, by 1,000, but the Republican vote is about 2,000 less than that party cast four years ago. The split in the Republican ranks, following the election of William T. Haines, is pronounced. If the divl sion in ijMaine in November is as it was in ’the recent Vermont election six-tenths of the Republican vote will go for Taft, three-tenths for Itoose velt and one-tenth for the Democrats. It is siguifleant that the latter party has to date suffered no losses, as compared with the vote in previous years, from the third term move ment. On the contrary, it has gained. The result in Maine may be exacted to be something like this: Wilson, 74.000; Taft, 42,600; Roosevelt, 21,300.

The returns from the recent Vermont election show in round figures that the Joint Republican and third party vote was 8 per cent short of the Republican vote four years ..ago, while the Democratic vote In that state shows a gain of 25 per cent over that of 1908. It is of special interest to speculate what will happen next November throughout the nation if the Republican and Democratic vote for the national tickets happens to be affected as the gubernatorial vote this month in Vermont hns been affected The New York Post has done some In teresting figuring along this line, and as a net result it Is shown that under the contingencies mentioned President Taft would carry only two states in November, Rhode Island and Vermont, all the others going for Governor Wilson. The conclusions reached by the Post follow:

To compute this result we should have to deduct 8 per cent from the vote cast for Taft four years ago and apportion the remaining vote in the ratio of 62 to 88 between Taft and Roosevelt, and we should have to add 35 per cent to Bryan’s vote in 1908 and give the “demnitlon total” to Woodrow Wilson—in other words, give Taft 57 per cent and Roosevelt 35 per cent of Taft’s vote four years ago and give Wilson 125 per cent of Bryan’s vote four years ago. The result In round numbers would be as follows, so far as regards Taft and Wilson:

Taft. Wilson. Alabama 14,000 93,000 Arkansas 32,000 109,000 California 122.000 IGO.OOO Colorado 71,000 159.000 Connecticut 1 .. 65,000 85,000 Delaware 14,000 28.000 Florida 6,000 39,000 Georgia 24,000 90.000 Idaho 30,000 45.000 Illinois 360,000 603,000 Indiana 199,000 423,000 lowa 157,000 226.000 Kansas 113,000 201.000 Kentucky ~..135.000 305,000 Louisiana 51,000 79,000 Maine 38,000 44,000 Maryland 66,000 145,000 Massachusetts 152,000 194,000 Michigan 192,000 219.000 Minnesota .112,000 136,000 Mississippi 3.000 75j000 Missouri 199,000 448.000 Montana 18,000 33,001 Nebraska 73.000 164,001 Nevada .. 6,000 14,0(4 New Hampshire 30,000 42,005 New Jersey..: 151,000 208,000 New Fork .' ....497,600 834,000 North Carolina 66.000 171,000 North Dakota ............... 33,000 41,000 Ohio ....327,000 528.000 Oklahoma .... ........... 63,000 153,000 Oregon t.. 36.000 48.000 Pennsylvania 426,000 861,000 Rhode Island 35,000 81,000 South Car01ina.............. 2,000 78,000 South Dakota 39,000 Wf.OOO Tennessee 68,000 170,000 Texas 37,000 271,000 Utah 35.000 63,000 Vermont Virginia 30,000 103,000 Washington ................. 61.000 73,000 West Virginia. 79,000 139.000 Wisconsin ........142,000 208.000 Wyoming 12.000 18,000