Indianapolis Times, Indianapolis, Marion County, 21 August 1950 — Page 10
strength to the so-called “people’s police army” the Consmunists have organized in the Soviet Zone.
Hl » ” - ote fi MLL THE first proposition presents the Allies with a tough decision, .but it is one which cannot be evaded much longer. Western Germay must be ‘defended, unless all of Europe is to be surrendered to communism. Such a defense force does not exist now. And it is questionable whether it will be possible to organize an adequate one without German participation. ~ Certain risks are involved in rearming Western Germany. It would be unrealistic to ignore that. But Eastern Germany is being rearmed by Russia. So the alternative— ‘eventual loss of all Germany to the Soviets—Ileaves little room for argument. In dealing with the German question, we must de- ~ cide whether we want Germany in the community ‘of free nations, or whether Germany is to be abandoned to communism. Oyr choice is between a gamble and a certainty. : ” » » » » ” ON the question of sending eight more divisions to Germany, the United States does not have that many troops available. At the present rate of mobilization we won't have them for many months more,
Le we will be doing our part—in fact much more, if we are also. to provide most of the money for the rearmament of those nations. ; , Every free country has the same stake in this situation that we have, and every one of them should be called upon ta spend the same proportion of their national income for defense as we are spending. % This is a community problem and it should be handled . ona i ad basis.
May. His Years Increase
once heard the late blind Sen. Gore romuvh: “When Bere Baruch walks into a room I can Teel the pres-
(CHANCELLOR KONRAD ADENAUER of Western Germany wants to create a defense force equal in size and
a He also urges the United States to increase its oceupaEs tow Sorsga uth we have the equivalent of. 30 armored di-
Mr. gout contends that an n Aeris Army of that size is .ensential to. discourage a. Russian attack, until. more
r If we simply match France and Britain man for man, .
re
7 a—
FORECASTING .
. By Peter Edson
War is Election Picture
WASHINGTON, Aug. 21-—Coming congressional election results probably depend a great deal on the status of the Korean war and the home front cost of livin before voting day, Nov, Just as all the polis missed in 1048 because they didn’t measure the last week shift in sentiment, so the returns this year could be changed by last minute developments. Faced with this situation, any one daring to make a 1950 political prediction is leading with his chin, But there is one soul who is that bold. He is Louis H. Bean, Department of Agriculture economist and statistician, whose hobby is the study of election trends. His new book, “The Mid-Term Battle,” just published, tells how to predict the 1050 elections. In 1948, Louis Bean's book on “How to Predict Elections" accurately forecast trends toward “President Truman's victory and an increase in the Democratic congressional strength.
“In summary, his new book predicts:
~~ House-—Democratic loss of 25 to 30 seats, but
ence of ering intellect.” "In that remark you may find a key Ro ‘thé hifcfure Sp regpect with which so many Americans res gard the nd reper who celebrated his 0th bithday
Saturday. « Nearly all who know Mr. Baruch well, and indeed many who have never seen him, use the dimunitive form of his first name when talking about him. It is an unconscious tribute which men never pay to a stuffy person.
» ~ ” THE respect granted to Mr. Baruch, even by those who disagree with him (usually to their later regret) has been earned by nearly four decades of public service as a private citizen, Through and in between two world wars, and now into what looks like the. beginning of a third, Mr. Baruch has worked ‘to make America strong at home and abroad. “His rewards have not come from the men in high office “he helped—from many of them he met rebuffs when “he refused to ride with their political oi
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national peril, look to him for dom and IE - And fortunately” for the country, at" 80, he” “hasn't” even slowed down.
Job, Too, Had It
sar LPHIS: character-in-the land of Uz named Job was tei ns and he feared God and ‘eschewed evil at all times. He was also moderately wealthy and had a fine family. You couldn't find a better-off man. Satan told the Lord it proved nothing, that anybody was likely to be good and act mice if he didn't have anything to bother Him-—and started the argument. So they threw the book at Job to settle the question. In these days of tribulations and laments, we like to re-read the story of Job. For that man, as they say, had it. First he loses all his livestock, in one way or another. His seven sons are killed in a big wind and his servants die in a fire. Then Job breaks out with painful boils from the - soles of his feet to the crown of his head: his skin turns black, and he says himself that he is fit to live only with - the owls. His Wize thinks so, tos.”
” » »
helped any, incidentally, by three loud-mouthed friends who keep telling him that he is suffering from his sins. Job of course hasn't sinned, at least very much, but his patience and endurance are almost to the breaking point as things get worse. Though Me is driven at last to actual doubt of God's justice, he nevertheless remains confident that a seemingly unjust God will ultimately vindicate him, * Finally, in the majesty of a whirlwind, the Lord replies to Job and reviews the marvels of creation. So im‘pressive is this, Job confesses that his denial of God's justice » was due to his great ignorance. Whereupon God declares “Job has spoken rightly and restores the patient sufferer to - iwealth and happiness while Sebdemuing | his three friends for their cruel Reediing
-
bo. this country has been mostly pretty decent because we've been blessed with good fortunes by the Lord.*So now ‘we are beset by boils and afflictions as a sort of test. If ‘that’s the case, maybe we'd better get the pitch from Job
Lr WIVES “THEreased food éosts and’ general
joB rics "arg to figure what's ‘gone ii He isn't
WE don't know: Maybe that's the way it is today, May- -
now have a 90-vote majority.) i: Menate—Democratic loss of three or four tr but not. enough to give GOP control. {Democrats now have a 14 vote majority.) -
MR. BEAN makes this prediction with the qualification, “Assuming no sharp let-down in business activity and no material change in our international relations.”
As a matter of fact, Mr. Bean made his prediction and his book was in type before the Korean War broke out. This first edition was recalled and a new edition was prepared In it, author Mr. Bean makes this analysis of the Korean War's effect on the vote and the election outcome: ONE: The war can alter the political balance, but not as much as is generally assumed. WO: The real significance of the war as a political factor is that it may divert public attention so much that many voters will stay Away from .the polls... Mr. Bean. believes this would work to the advantage of the Republicans rather than the Democrats.
THREE: he rise in industrial jroduction
years CE over business’ Samp and serious unemployment, This is taken to be an advantage for the Démocrats, FOUR! -The Korean War has reversed the downward trend of farm prices. Mr. Bean says this should stabilize the political balance in-the
farm belt, where the Demoracts made big gains In. 1948,
“Advantages fOFGOp————
price inflation will work to the advantage of
“the Republicans by ' increasing dissatisfaction
Among lower-income city consumers, a majority
-of whom have been voting the Democratic
ticket in recent years.
SIX: Popular support for President Truman's — stand on the Korean crisis has cut down isola-
SIDE GLANCES
corn. 1980 BV tA SERVICE. Be. T. M0. 8 PAT. OF, "| don't care if he has got nice eyes! He's still a cheap poli- < = - ticianl"
"
situation in the week
“mot-enough to’ wgive Republicans contr. (Demo- on
tionist sentiment, thus reducing ‘the standing of some isolationist senators and congressmen. SEVEN: Mr. Bean doubts the generally held belief that a war rallies voters to support the President as commander-in-chief. It didn’t work —that way in 1942, when the Republicans almost" took over because the Democratic vote was off 11 million and the Republican vote was off seven million. Adding up all these factor, there is a balance of wartime forces influencing the election outcome. Republicans stand to gals if the war situation is bad just before election, if the vote is small, if consumer prices are high and inflation is bad. Democrats stand to gain if there is a victory in Korea, if industrial and farm pro-
Suction and prices are high, if unemployment s low
Charges Influence
THE principal domestic factors influencing
this year's lection are the Republican charges
Pr Hon neo personal campaigning—if he campaigns. As for the more general non-war factors influencing the 1950 elections, Mr. Bean bases his prediction on charts and statistics which he says prove a pro-Democratic trend. He says, “The record shows that the 1946 Republican victory marked the end of the decline in the Democratic or New Deal tide and consequently, the end of the rise in Republican fortunes.”
Barbs
ONE reason so many marriages are failures . is because so many failures get married. o 2» o A MICHIGAN judge ruled that a man may be unoffensively drunk. That must mean GOOD and drunk. . @ * ; : IT WOULDN'T be 80 bad to be buried up 10 your ears——if it were in watermelon. * © &
THE. succesful . man ‘makes. hay. trom. the. can feet.
grass under Tome other fellow’s
Shut tight the door and lock it fast Upon ‘the dead, yet torturing past; Then throw the key into the furnace blast.
Lock up your suffering and tears, Lock up your loves, your hates and fears; Lock up the wasted ays and years.
“Remeber soul-torture leaves: no strain; The past behind you, face forward again. ~ —M., B. Bratton.
ED SAID Silence is golden but nothing is so deafen--ngwas-a-golden-silence.—— -~B. C., Indianapolis, Ind.
By Galbraith UNDISTURBED .
Johnson Standing Up Well Under Fire
© WASHINGTON, Aug. 21—How is Defense Secretary Louis
Johnson standing up under fire?
~The --sharpest—salve--came from Clyde Lewis, commander of the Veterans of Foreign Wars. Mr. Lewis said Secretary Johnson, a former American Legion commander, was “incompetent.” ? ” » = OUTWARDLY, My Johnson is not disturbed. On the surface, at least, he was never more sure of history's verdict. He says he sleeps well because he is backed by a fine team in all departments. He keeps his weight around 210 — normal for him —and only occasionally séems to tire under his heavy work load. Bluff and habitually cheerful, ’ he still is inclined to make over-optimistic statements, usually to people he likes, YooN 8 8 : THERE is no doubt Mr. Johnson thinks he is doing a good job and wants others to think so, too. To be looked on as a. political lability—if only by a few—is a new stperisnce
ber, “foir, it took
t-and-the effect of —
“—g5-and-is-still Hving.
Bind up your wounds and forget the ae. Tr:
pan Not Halong v. tl By Raymond Freek. J has been at war with Formosa, Rus- . oa, and the United States. We bought products made in Japan for almost 50 years. It sent some of its generals to our universities and colleges while as our friends. In Decemadvantage of us and started a war with us in thousands of our boys were killed and ! : Japan has still a population of almost 16,000,000, but since we started fighting in Japan, it which is just a short distance from Japan, it help. What is. 18 going to do?
ES
gang destroyed about $700 million worth of food in the last seven years and have given billions to foreign nations as a loan. But here at home people over 85 must sign over almost everything they own to get a dole of a few dollars. Employers don’t even want to také people over 35 years of age.
EN eomog tor longer we wait, the “better ‘chance Stalin and the men back of the iron curtain have to build up their Commies and spread discord, cive avery. ‘able-bodied - person here. in “United States work and teach them how to the an Army rifle, then if Russia does come to the
- United -States, we won't have to go. down ike
half-starved rats.
"Wrestling Up to Public’
By Spike 8. Drugan Witqtiing, or what is commonly called final n and is being
i on the pa : scrutinized as unfit for child welfare via the TV,
Personally as far as the so-called art of wrestling Is concerned, it left the field of sport
DEAR BOSS
UR the set off. A.child can. be. taught that.
vision, remains with the public and censor, 7 If you don't like celery, then don't eat 1 But the other guy might like celery. So with today’s wrestling and what | looks -.on television. Switch to another station, or ——— on "wis & grunt and groan boys eame along, net so many months ago.
* What Others Say
FROM hundreds of national languages will develop . . . one common, international language which will not be German or Russian or English, but a new language. ~—Premier Joseph Stalin, * °° CONGRESSMEN go along on pork barrell
established the theory that if you don't ot your pork right now you'll get new legislators. —Sen. Paul Douglas (D., Ill.)
By Dan Kidney
Capehart Labor's No. 2 Target
WASHINGTON, Aug. 21—Dear Boss—Next to Sen. Robert A, Taft (R. 0.), Sen, Homer E. Capehart (R. Ind.) seems to have brought more
“unanimity, if not unity, to the American Ia bor movement than almost any other public figure.
Sen. Taft, of course, is target No. 1 for the
“tinfons to defeat for re-election as he is co-
author of the Taft-Hartley Law. Reading union publications leads. to the conclusion that the ‘senior Senator from Indiana must be target No. 2. Each week the CIO-PAC News does some sharpshooting: at him and so does the AFL League Reporter, which is published here by Labor’s League for Political Action. This weekend “Labor,” the long established weekly news~
——paper—of-the railway brotherhoods; joined the
_ anvil chorus of Capehart critics.
Publishes Editorial IT published the following editorial under the title “Pilgrim’s Progress of Capehart”: “Congressman Walsh of Indiana told the House this story about Sen, Capehart, Indiana
+ Taft-Republican, who is fond of ‘telling the
world’ that the ‘New Deal’ and ‘Fair Deal’ have ‘Mined’ business: “Back in 1932, the last year of the Hoover administration and the worst year of the ‘Hoover hunger,’ Capehart ‘was down to 15
cents for two days lunch. Things got so bad
for Capehart that he and his wife once lived
for three days on raw apples picked off the ground, in. a country drchard.’
ing and feeding thousands of the GOP faithful’
AID FOR AGED ,
"WASHINGTON, Aug. 21 — President Truman is expectéd this week to sign into law the new Social Security bill which Congress just passed almost unanimously. Larger checks for the present beneficiaries of the old age and survivors insurance system will then begin in September. As an illustration, take a man who has recently retired at 65. He and his employer have paid into the old-age insurance fund since its start 14 years ago. His wages ran to about $2600 a year—$50 a week. : ;
Typical Examples Explained
draws the old- -age benefit of a single man. Based 'on his earnings and the time he has
Under the new it will be $65. Across the street lives another man in much the same circumstances except that his wife is Because-of her, he 50 per cent more. Their monthly benefit is’ now $62.58. It will be $97.50. These figures are subject to much variation up and down, but the average inérease in benefits for ‘the current 3 millon cecipients is 77 per
Relatively few. of the heneficiaries. are .in the.
~ clgas of Mr. A. or Mr. and Mrs. B. Average pa —old- -sld:aga benefit check now is only about $26 a
vials who have retired or are about
- to retire can find out what the new law means ‘to thém by consulting the nearest field office s “ofthe Social Security Administration.
In most cities this is listed in the phone
. By Jim G. Lucas +
“Tn 1038, after six years of the ‘New Deal,’ —Waish recalled, Capehart was 80 prosperous that he spent thousands of dollars ‘entertain-
By Fred W. Perkins Await New Social Security Bill OK
HIS WIFE-died some years ago; so- he only —-
a lavish ‘party’ on his country estate. “ “Those six years under the New Deal’ Mr, Walsh said, ald, must nave been very good ones
“for Capehart.
Cites Riches Now
is a rich manufacturer and ‘country gentleman.’ Fifteen cents, which had to buy two lunches for him in the Hoover era, now would not pay the waiter's ‘tip’ on his most modest meal.” This week “The League Reporter” assailed the senior Senator from Indiana for offe an amendment to the Economic Controls which it claimed would “guarantee profits.” The story concluded: “We don't know what Capehart Will “be up to next, but we will lay a small bet that he won't be proposing guarantees making sure that workers earn enough to live on.” - Another story in the same publication care ried this headline: “Let Cases and Capeharts rave—their votes votes stalled U. B. defense.” The reference was to: Rep Francis Case (R. 8B. D.) whose recond was cited and then this added. “Another severe critic of the administration is Sen. Homer Capehart (R. Ind.). Yet Cape ‘hart wanted to delay the effective date of the draft extension law in 1948 for a half a year, And voting for Capehart’s | were. such
after-Korea patriots ax Sens. Eugene Millikin :
.{Calo.),.. Bourke... -{Towa)y-Robert.-Taft (Ohio) and Alexander: Wiley (Wisc.).” i All those named are Republicans up for reSitftion this year. That is what the fuss is all a
book under U. 8. Government, Federal Security Agency, Social Security Administration. Other.
wise, the nearest post office can advise where to e.
Other Changes in Law Listed
ALTHOUGH larger benefits are the higgest change in the law, there are others. Such as:
After Jan. 1 about 10 million more persons will be covered by old-age insurance—most of them automatically, but for 2 million only if ‘their employers are willing to pay Social Security taxes. “New regulations wir “Boost “Benefits oF Pore sons retiring in the future and make it easier to qualify.
irvivors of “of married a ent husbands.
The wife of & retired man drawing benefits
{including depend-
gets——May get an additional benefit-for a child in-her
care.
The benefit for a dependent parent will be increased to three-fourths of the single person’s nefit
“May Eam Up to $50 Monthly =
“LUMPSUM payments” will ‘be ‘made on the ~~ FT death of insured workers, eliminating present .
restrictions. Beneficiaries may earn up to $50 a month in
covered employment—instead of $1499 as at
it goes Tike
¢
“AND NOW, under the ‘Fair Deal,’ Capehart ehart
)
pr TE
preasnt--without losing. their federal insurance payments =
- After 75, no limitation.
For two months he has taken sharp criticism. There have been demands in Congress for his resignation, some from men he had expected to be in his corner. editorials have called on him to quit.
Newspapers and magazine
and one he doesn't particularly relish. Since he took office in March, 1949, the secretary has genuinely-—if temporarily—retired from politics. But, in years past, Louie Johnson was a mighty good man to have in your political corner and-—while he doesn't
. sfy so—it's evident he's sur- . prised to find some Democrats
anxious to shuck him. : e = ® A LONG-TIME student of politics, he is keenly aware that mass psychology isn't al-
ways rational, and that it can brand a man a failure no mat-
ter what the record shows, He . also knows that the public is ,
looking for a scapegoat and isn't always discriminating. Ironically, the secretary is more disturbed about some of
- his defenders than his critics,
Some editorial writers have tried to shift the hlame from Mr. Johnson to President Truman, or to Pit the Pentagon
$
against the White House. The secretary is meticulously loyal to Mr, Truman. Stories he is in the Presidential doghouse upset him, # J ACTUALLY, and the secretary are closer than ever. son is sensitive on this score, the President goes out of his way to emphasize their relationship, «Mr. Johnson thinks the people are with him. His mail
has been Heavy and is uni-
formly favorable. Much, of course comes from old friends who simply intend to stand by him, no matter what. A lot comes from American Legion friends. But he’ gets most from strangers, and often he genuinely touched by their -stnifment. A telephone call this week from the mother of ‘a soldier in Alaska. She didn’t give her name because she didn't want to be thanked. Just wanted to say Mr. Johnson was all right. ‘4. SINCE KOREA, he has worked harder and longer. At
times, it tells on him and his
staff, He seldom eats alone,
” : the President Because Mr, John- .
decisions.
and has little time for anyone but top military visitors. Oecasionally, there have been sharp words and hurt feelings, but fewer ‘than could be exe pected under pressure. When he seems tired or inclined to bark, his staff tries to hold up the flow of papers across his desk so he can rest for 15 or 30 minutes with no Syressing
» » . A _ FINALLY, it can be said, Mr. Johnson is ‘at last doing the job he wanted to do all along. For the first time, he is civilian co-ordinator of a large-scale military project ine volving at least partial mobilie zation of the national economy and a rearmament program to meet the threat of foreign age gression. That is the job he wanted to do in the Roosevelt adminise tration, but was blocked by former War Secretary Harry - Woodring. It was the job he had in mind when he came to the Pentagon 18 months ago, but he put it off then because he wanted first to: reorganize
the Defense Department, make -
a 3% operas
-
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in the take while the o had to buy Packard, sound as a — Look fo sales. The
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