Indianapolis Times, Volume 34, Number 25, Indianapolis, Marion County, 10 June 1921 — Page 16

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BANKERS STUDY ECONOMIC AND MONEY STATUS Business Conditions of Country Reflected in Replies to Queries. OPTIMISM IS CONVEYED “It does not lie within our power as individuals, nor that of the American Bankers' Association as a group of individuals, to halt the inexorable economic forces that, are at work in this country and in the world. We can, however, look upon things as they are and base our acts upon things as they ore, and by doing so we can to some extent direct the operation of these forces," says the introduction to an economic survey by the American Bankers’ Association, reported to the executive council of the association at Pinehurst. North Carolina, by John S. Drum, president. The economic survey, which is of April, 1921, is on business conditions in the United States, and the chart, which accompanies the written report, was prepared by the association from a compilation of more than one thousand replies to a questionnaire submitted by the association to members of its executive council and to other leading bankers and business men in every State in the t'nited States. The material presented In the chart represents a compilation of the opinion of those who replied to th" questionnaires submitted and does not necessarily, it is explained, represent the views of the association. ECONOMIC PROBLEM OUTLINE GIVEN. “A careful analysis of the replies to the questionnaire gives the following outline of the economic problems that confront the United States, as expressed in th etenns of the problems of production," it is explained on the chart: “1. Cost. a. Labor; b., materials; c. transportation; and. money; e. taxation. 2. Domestic markets, a. Decreased purchasing power; b. the ’buyers’ strike’; c. disinclination of retailers to take losses; and. cancellation of orders. 3. Foreign markets, a. Decreased purchasing power in Europe; b. inadequacy of present credit facilities; c. political disorganization in Europe; and. the exchange situation.” Following is a digest of the information contained in the chart, including the questions asked, the first six questions being under the general head of financial, the next fifteen under the head of commercial. the next four under tjie head of industrial, the next three under the head of agricultural and the last two under the head of building: OPINION FAVORS EXCESS PROFITS TAX REPEAL. 1. A—ls sentiment in favor of or opposed to the repeal of the excess profits tax? A—Sentiment virtually unanimous in favor of repeal: B—What substitute is suggested ? B—Answers fall into two classes: I—Reduction of current expenses of government by; (a) economy in government; (b) refunding of short term Government bond issues and finding of floating indebtedness: 2. Substituted taxes: (a) sales tar, (b) increase and extension of Income tax, (c) fiat profits tax. (and) tariff. 2. What is the sentiment with regard to the sales tax? A considerable majority reports sentiment in favor of a ales tax. A number of replies reporting favorable sentiment are qualified, however. In many small commuulties opposition to the sales tax and favor of the excess profits tax is reported. 3. What is the sentiment with respect to the cancellation of the debts of foreign'governments? Great majority opposed to cancellation. 4. WHI interest rates rise, fall, or re main stationary during 1921? Majority opinion is interest rates will remain stationary. 5. What classes of corporations find readiest market for securities? This varies according to conditions in particular States and sections; some mining States, for instance, report a ready market for mining securities. In general, however, the survey shows securities find favor in the following order: Industrials, public utilities, tax-exempt bonds of municipalities, ttc., and railway securities. CREDITS VITALLY AFFECT v t*. 8. FOREIGN TRADE.

6. To what extent will the recent deciaion of the Supreme Court holding legal farm loan bonds relieve the credit situation? Common opinion is that some, although not a very great, measure of Immediate relief may be expected. 7. Is the situation with regpect to cancellation of contracts becanse of falling prices serious? Very serious in industrial State, although less serious than in the fall and winter of 1920. 8. Are manufacturers and exporters relaxing their efforts to sell goods in foreign countries? Majority opinion is that while manufacturers and exporters ordinarily woul<f be Increasing their efforts to sell goods abroad, because of the contraction of domestic markets, they are relaxing their efforts because of uncertainty of payment, difficulty of arranging credits and unwillingness of foreign purchasers to purchase under existing exchange conditions, 9. Have any considerable quantities of excess manufactured goods accumulated In storage? Reports indicate a surplus in virtually all parts of the country. 10. What factors, in yonr opinion, are working toward a stabilization of prices? Operation of the law of supply and demand as manifested by: <a> gradual liquidation of commodities purchased at high prices, on the basis replacement costs; (b) return of competive conditions to business and labor; <c) the •'buyers' strike"’ insofar as it has eliminated extravagance in 'buying; (and) willingness of labor In some lines to accept wage reductions in line with general readjustment; (e) increased efficiency of labor; (f) efforts to rehabilitate foreign trade. SEVERAL FACTORS WORK AGAINST PRICE STABILIZATION'. 11. What factors are working against stabilization of prices? Opinion is chief factors are as follows: <a) attempts of many sellers to resist adjustment, in the hope that prices will advance, -by refusing to take losses and sell on basis or replacement cost; (b) unwilllnguesg of labor In many lines, to accept wage reductions in conformity with general readjustment of prices; (c) the “buyers' strike’’ Insofar as it impels consumers to postpone normal purchases in the hope that prices will fall still farther; id) • Inability of European countries in need of American raw materials and manufectured goods to purchase supplies, because of lack of money and inadequate credit facilities; (e disturbed European political and social conditions; if) railway rates excessive as compared with readjusted cost of other services and commodities. 12. To what extent may stabilization of prices be expected in 1921? Majority opinion is that complete stabilization—that is, establishment of prices on snipe basis from which there will be only normal fluctuations due -to seasonal and other causes—may not be expected in 1921. 13. To what extent are manufacturers and retailers writing off in their inventories losses due to the fall in prices? Majority report is that manufacturers commonly are writing off losses in full, larger retailers and catalogue houses to a considerable extent, and smaller retailers to a lesser extent. 15. In your opinon, how far will com■sodlt}’ prices return toward price stand-

Wars on Divorce

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The Rev. E. D Cameron of Henryetta. Okla., who has announced that he will soon establish headquarters in New York for the purpose of better arganizing a national fight against divorce. Cameron recently resigned his pastorate at Henryetta to become head of the American Anti-Divorce League. He will campaign for a national law prohibiting divorce for any reason whatsoever. A resolution has already been introduced in Congress as the opening irun in this fight. Cameron was instrumental in getting it before Congxess.

ard of 1914? Wide variety of opinion. Majority opinion is that on the average commodity prices will not be less than 25 per cent higher than in 1914. IS. Are retailers disposed to maintain prices at former levels, or are they selling on the basis of present costs? Opinion evenly divided as to country as whole and even as to States and single communities. 17. Are retailers buying heavily or sparingly? Reports unanimously indicate retailefs are buying very sparingly IS. Are manufacturers carrying large amounts of customers’ paper? Reports indicate that in the country as a whole manufacturers are carrying larger amounts of customers’ paper than they did a year ago. The majority report Is, however, that the amount of customers’ paper carried by manufacturers is not greatly in excess of that carried a year ago, and a very large number of replies report no Increase whatever. 19. Are collections good or slow? Slc.w to fair, because of slow liquidation. TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES REPORTED ADEQUATE. 20. Are transportation facilities adequate to the requirements of industry? 21. How do transportation conditions compare with those a year ago? Transportation facilities reported adequate throughout country, and change as compared with year ago expressed as transition from car shortage to car surpiua. Reports were qualified, however. 22. Have industrial plants cut down production to any extent or shut down altogether? What are the causes, and which industries are affected most? Reports show a general reduction of production and in many cases complete shutdown. Causes ascribed: (a) lack of demand, foreign and domestic: (b) inability to produce at prices consumers are willing to pay. due to (1) transportation costs; (2) labor costs. Industries chiefly affected: Copper, textiles, automobiles. automobile parts, machinery, farm Implements, shipyards, rubber, silk, clothing, shoes, lumber jewelry and canned foods. 23. What efforts have industrial establishments made to cut down costs of production? a. Reduction of working forces in line with decreased demand and production; b. reduction of wages or more hours of work with .10 increase in wages. 24. Is the efficiency of labor greater or less than a year ago? Unanimous 'opinion that efficiency of labor is greater. 25. Are raw materials aviilable in sufficient quantities to meet the needs of manufacturers? Unanimous report of surplus of raw material, due rather to: a. Decreased demand on part of manufacturers than to; b. exc.'ss production of raw materials. 26. It has been stated that many farmers that bought land at prices based on the value of crops during and shortly after the war have been forced to give up their land or not to cultivate because present prices of farm . roducts make It impossible to return interest on the investment or to farm at a profit. To what extent is thus true? Reports are that in some Western and Central States in which farm land values were inflated by speculation during and immediately after the war, farmers who purchased during that period are unable to earn the interest on their investments and in some cases have been unable to meet principal payments due and have lost their farms. Most farming districts were not aected by land speculations, and these conditions do not obtain. Where they do exist, they are offset to some extent by the desire of the seller to grant extensions rather than to take back the property, which he would have to keep or sell at a lower price. 27. Is ample credit available for the

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seeds of farmers? Reports Indicate that In most sections sufficient credit it available for the actual need- of agriculture, although of necessity credit must be limited to absolute requirements. Taken as a whole, the reports indicate that lack of abundant credit will cause some little reduction of acreage. 28. Is sentiment In favor of or opposed to agricultural cooperative movements? Majority sentiment in favor of agricultural movements designed to foster: (a) cooperative marketing; (b) cooperative purchasing, but opposed to cooperative movements designed to (a) crej ate monopolies; (b) enter polities; (c) ; form alliances for political purposes with other groups. 29. Will building operations be greater or less than in 1920? Majority opinion Is operations will be less 30. What class of buildings will be constructed in greatest nurnDer —Industrial structures, commercial buildings or dwellings? Reports are that in all parts of the country various classes of buildings will be constructed in the following order, if building costs are reduced to conform with adjusted costs In other lines: (1) dwellings in large numbers; (2), commercial buildings; (3), Industrial structures, very few. Reports are based on needs and are qualified by statements that building operations will be greatly restricted unless costs are reduced. Practically all of the answers In the chart are accompanied by the reasons sot them. BERTRAM WILBER SUCCUMBS HERE Noted Amateur Golfer Was 311 Since December. Bertram Do Witt Wilber, 47, State engineer for the Central Union Telephone Company, and widely known as an amateur golfer, died last night at hi* home, 2934 North Pennsylvania street, after an Illness since last December. Mr. Wilber came to Indianapolis in 1905, to take a position with the telephone company. He has become widely known through his ability at golf, several times capturing the city championship. He was a member of Pentalpha Lodge, F. and A. M. and of the Scottish Kite and Shrine. The Pentalpha Lodge will have charge of the services tomorrow at Crown Hill Cemetery. Funeral services will be held at the Flanner and Buchanan chapel tomorroty afternoon at 3:30 o'clock. Surv’vlng are the widow, mother, Mrs. D. E. Wilber, Fort Wayne; two sisters, Miss Flora Wilber, Fort Wayne, and Mrs. Frank Arthur, Chicago, and one brother, Fred Wilber, Ypsilantl, Mich. Escaped Prisoner Takes Nap; Arrested Special to The Times. NOBLESVII.LE, Ind., June 10—Dewey Frederick, 22, who is said to have escaped from the Indiana Reformatory, has been nrrestod here by Chief of Police FaucetL He was found asleep in a barn and was first taken into custody on the charge of loitering. Later it was found that he had stolen an automobile belonging to James Davis of Linton and the machine was found on the side of the road four miles west of Noblesville. where it was abandoned when the gasoline ran out. He was turned over to the Linton au thorities and will be taken back to Jeffersonville. Utilities Case Is Under Advisement Special to Tha Tlmaa. ELKHART. Ind., June 10. —Because of the legal problems involved. Judge W. B. Ilile has taken under advisement the case of the cities of Mishawaka and Elk hart, the town of Llgonier and many industrial consumers against the State public utilities commission. The consumers seek a temporary restraining order so that a 7 per cent increase in domestic light rates and a 10 per cent boost In commercial rates can be prevented. The commission's order is called unlawful and void because only siv days' notice, instead of thirty, was given before it was made effective. Sumnei Kenner ot Indianapolis, assistant attorney general of Indiana, with W. A. XUlnerny of South Bend, represented the commission in the case. FIRST LIBRARY BUDGET. HARTFORD CITY, Ind., June 10.—For the first time in the history of the local library a budget system for expense will be used next year. A. L. Frantz has just been named president of the hoard.

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INDIANA DAILY TIMES, FRIDAY, JUNE 10, 192 L

GARAGE FIRE LOSS IS $12,000 Chief Damage to Autos Stored in Building. A gasoline explosion started a fire in the garage of the Citizens Motor Car Company, 31 West Thirteenth street, at 12:30 a. m. today. The loss is estimated by the fire department at SI2,(XX). Firemen 6ay the damage to the building will be about SI,OOO, and that damage amounting to SII,OOO was done automobiles stored In the building. Roy Gwinn, night man at the garage, discovered the fire. The alarm was sent in from Pennsylvania and Fourteenth streets. This is throe blocks from where the fire occurred. Gwinn said he ran to the box after the fire started near an automobile that had Just been driven Into the garage. He declared that a small amount of gasoline on the floor caught fire, exploded and spread the flames over other automobiles. A number of cars were gotten out of the building and were not damaged. Stewart Carey is the owner of the building. About fifteen cars were damaged by the flames. Decides to Make Certain of Him Special to The Times. KOKOMO, Ind., June 10. -Unable to give bond in the sum of $2,000 to which sum it was Increased by Judge W. C. Overton of the Circuit Court, William Jones, being tried on a charge of larceny in the theft of a horse and buggy from Tipton County, was sent to Jail. He was late‘twice on dates set for his trial. Jones Is under arrest in Cass County for larceny and his bondsmen, becoming alarmed, sent the sheriff to take Jones in custody, but Hie Cass County official will await the outcome of this trial.

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MYSTERY THIEF DESERTS AUTO Police Notified Car Is Recovered. The mystery surrounding the disappearance of Mrs. David Lurvey’s automobile from the garage in the rear of her home, 2813 North Talbott avenue, has been solved. Ed Traugott, brother of Mrs. Lurvey, telephoned police headquarters at 1 o’clock this morning and the police reports show "Mrs. Lurvey’s automobile found, not stolen. Ed Traugott says he has the car.” Today Mr. Traugott explained that he found the car deserted at Millersville road and Th rty-Eighth street, at li o'clock last n'/ht. He said the car had run out of f isoline. The disappearance of the Lurvey automobile was reported to the police at ".0:30 a’clock last night by Fred Johnson, and when two bicycle policemen and the emergency squad arrived they found neighbors of Mrs. Lurvey forming searching posses to find the car. The machine, valued at $3,400, was in the garage when Mrs. Lurvey heard it start. She yelled at the driver to leave the oar alone, but fearing personal violence did not go to the garage. She screamed and Johnson, hearing her call, summoned the police. The officers learned that the car was driven west on Twen-ty-Eighth street, but that was the last trace they obtained of the automobile until Mr. Traugott telephoned that it had been found. CLEVENGER SEEKS NEW TRIAL. B'CKOMO, Ind., June 10.— Producing an affidavit of James Harmon that he was the owner of the revolver loaned Y.’alter Clevenger and that the weapon produced at the trial was not the gun used, attorneys for Clevenger, have asked for anew trial. Clevenger some months ag/o shot Mrs. Lorena Hunt, the jury found, and turned the weapon upon himself.

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