Indianapolis News, Indianapolis, Marion County, 16 December 1916 — Page 4
'A
THE INDIANAPOLIS NEWS, SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16, 1916.
For the Person
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AMERICAN CENTRAL LIFE fSatabltahed ISM. Herbert M. Woollen, Prea. Indianapolis. Ind.
DIRECTORS
COWARD A. MEYER, Rl'MMKI.L T. BYERS
V.-p. and Comptroll-
er of Companr.
EVANS WOOLLEN, Pres. Fletcher Sav-
Inpa Sc Truet Co.
CARROI.L B. CARR, Secretary of Comp*y. H. H. HORN BROOK, Smith, Remoter, Hornbrook Se Smith.
O. V. WOOLLEN. Medical plrector.
Attorney Loan Dept. DAVID A. COULTER, Pres. Farmers Bank. Frankfort GEORCK E. HUME. Treasurer* j>t Com-
pany.
L. C. HfTXSMANN, Pres. Central Supply Company. F. W. MORRISON. Pres. Indiana Title Company.
AT HIS SECOND TIL
INDIANAPOLIS CITIZENS SEND WILSON MESSAGE APPROVING PROTEST TO GERMANY ON BELGIAN DEPORTATION
VERDICT OF MANSLAUGHTER RETURNED IN DYNAMITE CASE.
JURY WAS OUT FIVE HOURS
%
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Eben Swift, Francis H. French. Edwin St. J. Grable and Charles G. Treat. REPORTS CONTRABAND CARGO
LOS ANGELES, December 16.—David Caplan was found guilty of manslaughter at his second trial for complicity in the Los Angeles Times explosion, October 1, 1S10, when twenty men were killed. The
jury was out five hours.
The sentence for manslaughter is from
one to ten years. Caplan will appear in court Monday to receive sentence. At that time, his attorneys announced, a
motion would be filed for a new trial. Caplan was the fourth man brought to
trial in the case Twenty Indictments charging murder were returned against eight persons, but the names of only the
four arrested were made known. The four were brought to trial for the
death of Charles Hagerty. James B. McNamara pleaded guilty at the opening of his trial, while his brother, John J., former secretary of the International Association of Bridge and Structural Iron Workers, facing the same charges, was permitted to plead guilty to dynamiting the Llewellyn iron works here Christmas morning, 1910, one of the events accompanying labor disturbances in the latter part of 1910. James B. McNamara was | sentenced to life Imprisonment. John J. McNamara was sentenced to fifteen
The following message signed by Indianapolis citizens indorsing and approving President Wilson’s protest to the German government against the deportation of Belgians has been sent to the President: TO THE PRESIDENT: We, the undersigned citizens of the United States, most earnestly indorse and approve your protest to the German government against the reduction | of the population of Belgium to slavery, now in process by order of the Ger- ; man government, by which the Belgians are being seized and transported to forced labor in an enemy country. The fate of this exiled people is all the more pitiable because they are without fault. This action is not only a revival of the most merciless cruelties of the middle ages, but it harks back across the ages to the cruelties w'hich tore the Jews from Jerusalem and sent them upon the road to Babylon. It makes it appear that the w*orld has made no progress in | justice and humanity, and that the soul of Attila is to reign in the world. The government of the German emperor should understand that the American people, having rid themselves of slavery, feel the keenest indignation and grief at the reduction of the Belgians to slavery. The American people will sustain you in any further means you may adopt against the continuation of this unspeakable barbarism.
WHlits A. Bastlan The Rev. Francla H.
Ciavink
George C. Hitt Demarchus-C. Brown C. N. Thompaon C. A. McCotter Henrv W. Bennett W. W. Knight F. G. Darlington
L. C. Boyd
J. D. Forrest - .
H. MeK. Landon J. 8. Holliday James B. Steep George E. Hum a Russell T. Byers
William W. Woollen
rr.i i o ,. - _. , * I years. Both are In San Quentin peniten-j ci arence f. Merrell German Official Says U. S. Ship Co- tiary. ( Evans woollen
lumblan Waa No* in Rallact Mathew A. Schmidt was found guilty Joe Guthrie
lumman waa Not in Ballast. , and Bentcnced to llfe imprisonment last ! James S. Kelly
BERLIN (by wireless to Sayville, N. December. His appeal is pending Y.). December 16.-The Associated Press! A disagreement was reported by the
l jury at Caplan s first trial.
onu trial began October 23
learns from high authority in the foreign 1 Jury at Caplan;s flrst triaf Caplan s aec-
Nominated by Wilson.
WASHINGTON, December 16. - Win-
offlee that Germany’s answer to the inquiry of the United States government regarding the sinking by a German submarine of the American steamship Columbian is that the ahip was not in bal-
in ‘
May Requisition All Ships.
THE HAGUE, December 16.—That Hol-
land may mobilize her entire mercantile j Tennant
mes n
C. C. Ferry
Thomas A. Wynne
Frank Bowers H. C. Atkins M. A. Potter
Austin H. Brown Robert W. McBride Samuel IX Miller Alex Ft. Holliday Garvin M. Brown
last, but was carrying a partly contra- , „ . . v . . . . „ .1 band cargo of steel. It is asserted at the A®®* f° r bringing foodstuffs from over- j Edward J. Bennett foreign office that the Columbian had dis- seas is foreshadowed by F. E. Posthura, Chas. W. Miller charged part of her cargo at SL Nazaire, the minister of commerce, in an explana- j A ; I1 ^ orle ?, „ . France, and was proceeding to Genoa ; tory memorial relating to the bill for the william k. Gavin wUh contrabafldjiteel. | .HoTS | The Columbian waa owned by the J ood , aTld ’f 1 neede( l m . on . tl L ,y 'i American-Hawailan Steamship Company, I w3l3c3l, , ow3n F to delays of \o.\ages of New York, and sailed from here Oc- 1 and other ca 'i sea iS V( ? lve8 the regular tober 18 for Genoa. She delivered part of' employment of 470,000 tons of shipping, a cargo of horses at St. Nazaire, and | The interests of the regular passenger while proceeding thence to Genoa was i ,ln ® 8 * he added, will be consulted as far sunk, on November 8. by the German 1 Possible, but the present scarcity of submarine U-49 off Cape Ortegal, Spain. ' car &o space is such that the necessity She carried no passengers. AH her crew J for requisitioning the entire tonnage of of 109 persons were saved. The United shl PP ln S companies trading with North States government’s inquiry concerning America and South Africa must be reckthe case was presented to the German oned with, while circumstances may
arise requiring the commandeering of Holland’s entire mercantile tonnage for
the purpose named.
foreign office November 21.
APPELLATE COURT.
Abstracts of Opinions Handed Down
December 15, 1916.
COSTS—PREMIUMS ON APPEAL BONDS-
CASE DISTINGUISHED.
7M1. Oscar A. Jose et al. vs. Ersklne E. Hunter et al. Marlon S. C. Appellees’ motion to retax costa is overruled. Hottel. J. The appellate court heretofore reversed tlie Judgment In this cause and the supreme court denied a petition to transfer. The clerk, at appellants' request, in the taxing of costs, taxed as part of the costs against appellee, the amount (|S0) which appellant paid for premium on his appeal bond and for renewal premiums thereon pending the appeal. The appellee filed this motion to retax to eliminate the amount taxed for premiums on
Robert B. Insiey W. M. Richards
W. FI. Insiey
Dr. Horace R. Allen
Walter S. Millikan J. Ollas Vanler William Fortune
O. B. Ensey Albert Rabb
Lee R. Garber
William R. Higgins
J. R. King
Paul H. White
Dr. Carleton M. Mc-
Culloch
H. H. Harrison Charles B. Riley Horace E. Kinney Frank A. Witt Bert A. Boyd J. M. Brafford P. M. Gale William H. Howard i. C. Kins E. A. Wiley H. w. Donnan V. E. Butler Lucius B. Swift Frank W. Morrison Dr. G. V. Woollen John G. McKay John R. Welsh William H. Hubbard W. A. Atkins Frank B. Fowler James I’. Baker V. M. Price Fred C. Gardner Kelson A. Gladding Nicholas H. Noyes Herbert A. Smith W. H. Miller Samuel O. Pickens J. W. Fesler Booth Tarktnton H. 8. McMlchael Augustus L. Mason Henry W. Bullock James L. Gavin G. B. Schley Dr. Wm. N. Wlshard Dr. Henry Jameson W. A. Courtrlght Henry L. Beveridge Walter H. Eastman The Rev. J. P. Cowan The Rev. Edward W. CUpplnger Robert F. Daggett Charles E. Sloan Meredith Nicholson. The Rev. A. C. V.
Skinner
Dr. T. C. Hood J. K. Sharpe J. A. Walsh
Thad R. Baker Dr. J. H. Oliver John T. Jameson Walter P. Pfaff John T. Barnett Montgomery S. Lew! Dr. R.' J, Blakeman Dr. Ernest DeWolfe
Wales
Thomas H. Spann Dr. J. N. Hurty James A. Rohbach
Aqullla Q. Jones
Lee Burns
Frank Fishback Edgar H. Evans Ralph Gregory R. D. Harper Charles S. Lewis Smiley N. Chambers Larz A. Whitcomb Dr. Lafayette Page William D. Foulke Dr. C. E. Ferguson
The Rev. Allan B. Phll-John M. Judah
putt The Rev. James D.
The Rev. Owen D. Stanley Odell Romney L. Willson
Austin Flint Denny Harry M. Gentry John F. White Edward R. Lewis The Rev. Geo. 8. Hen- Charles W. Moores
C. T. Dollarhlde John H. Holliday
The Rev. Frank Otis
Ballard
William Lilly H. D. Fatout E. A. Legg
J. R. Fenstermaker Frank F. Powell 4 H. C. Gellately
T. R. Rainey
A. F. Brennan
Ben H. Rlker C. H. Sutton
James T. Eaglesfleld Spencer R. Quick William M. Rockwood William D. Bancker
William W. Hammond A. B. Cornelius James I. Dlssette John H. Kingsbury Dr. J. D. George George A. Busklrk
ninger
G. H. Deaton John W. Oliver
John W. Atherton
Hugh J. Baker A. R. Atwater L. H. Matthews F. I. GUleland W. J. Goodalt
Ferdinand Winter Charles H. Badger
S. P. Matthews R. E. Blossom
F. D. Ensmtngcr
W. H. Garten H. B. Burnet G. O. Rockwood Dr. J. A. Moag
Christopher B. Coleman Edward M. Greene T. Stanley Selllck Barton W. Cole William J. Cotton Elijah N. Johnson J. TV. Putnam II. M. Gelston James Brown F. R. Kautz The Rev. M. L. Haines John W. Holtzman Court land Van Camp Dr. Fletcher Hodges Walter C. Marn\on Dr. Frank A. Morrison Dr. B. J. Brennan John T. Marrlndale L. K. Babcock Dr. John A. MacDonald Charles Martlndale Phil S. Hudson Dr. David Rdss Dr. A. W. Brayton Dr. Thomas B. Noble Lynn B. Martlndale Dr. Frank A. Brayton A. W. Brayton, Jr. Seymour Mazur C. N. Williams Ralph M. Ketcham D. L. Chambers John Vajen Wilson Edmund H. Eitel Clare McTurnan C. H. Dallow Dr. Fred R. Henshaw
SALONICA OR ODESSA TO BE NEXT GERMAN OBJECTIVE, IS PREDICTION
By FRANK H. SIMOND8, Anthor of “The Great War." Copyright, 1916, The Tribune Association (The New York Tribune)
The collapse of Roumania raises two , a junction with the Bulgar army that has problems, one for the Germans and the i just been driven out of Monastir. a PPea* other for the allies. Having destroyed the | Constantine’s army is not large, and
use of surety compuTy appeal Roumanian thrust, the Germans have j its fighting quality is pretty poor now,
throp M Daniels, of New Jersey, was bond. The court holds that the act of 1817
nominated by President Wilson yesterday authorizing the use of mlrety company appeal - — _ _ . .
rSwS.. 0 'w£ im. zi i re sreres ir/rs
coats and distinguishes the case of Indiana U. J 8 i 0n> that is, to the capture of Odessa, or j best officers. Single-handed, it could not ^t C Sectio n 1m nn BurnVm I 4. <1 a lint 1 turn’ their ’victorious armies southward | make much of a showing against the alof 1801, In so tar as it authorizes the collection and undertake the task of expelling the j lies, but if it were aided by a strong _
of the* «t.’ The^coun^ay- that‘the "l^Tt alllea from Salonica, and thus from the : German drive “^aU a?miel Wi " n °\ th ® evacuation ultimately
00,1,lder * d b y supreme court In Balkan peninsula. For the allies the . Stn® Mo^LsUr an.f^moertffiem Have to be made?
now serving under a recess appointment as United States attorney fdr the western district of Wisconsin, was formally nom-
inated for that position.
Brigadier-General John J. Pershing, commanding the American expeditionary forces in Mexico, was nominated to be a
major-gem ral.
The following colonels were nominated for promotions to be brigadier-generals:
■ll' 1 "! .1 'I.
garia and opened a road to the Golden | Horn by which German guns and shells j could be shipped to the Turkish forts de- j fending the straits. We know that there! was then nothing left but to leave Galli- j poll, and though the allies postponed evacuation, they had at last to accept the inevitable. Even if they are not now compelled to leave Salonica by German at-
^the a ££ U of nt im ani Question must now be whether to make
‘ - a new effort in the Balkans or to aban-
don this field and seek a decision else-
never suggested the act of 1897 until on petition
for rehearing.
T
l/se It Morning, NOON and NIGHT!
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ONE Good Food Has NOT Advanced
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Same High Quality— Same Weight— No Advance in Price!
where, necessarily in the west
Conceivably, the Roumanians, reinforced by the Russians, will be able to save Moldavia and halt the German advance in the narrow gap between the Danube and the Transylvanian Alps. Should this effort fail, there remains an admirable line of defense supplied by the large river Pruth, the frontier line between Rou-
fighting about Monastir and compel them to withdraw to avoid envelopment, thus repeating the successful Serbo-Greek operation against Djavid Pasha's army in November, 1912. Once Monastir had been retaken, the German road to the Hellenic peninsula would be open and Ger-
What Withdrawal Would Mean. It would seem so. if merely military considerations are to be weighed. But can Serbia be abandoned? Can the Veni-
leiiu; peumsuia wuuiu ue open aim ixei-r , man troops couid descend to Larissa by Z ®1 13 ^ government in Greece be aban-
doned? Can the allies now sail away and leave behind them to the tender mercies of the enemy their Greek and Serb
the valleys west of Olympus, through which the Greeks advanced to victory in
the first Balkan war.
The Saryail army in Greece is now in
the position of the'British army in Spain ' friends, or can they take the^e friends, in the campaign which terminated only , w j th them as the British took with them!
when Wellington took his stand behind u
_ the lines of Torres Vedras and before trie loyalists when at the close of the, mania and Russia! This second line would Lisbon. A similar position has been revolution they evacuftted New York?! be far easier to defend than the first, created by the allies about Salonica. Such an evacuation would turn Greece l because one flank would rest on the They have been at work fortifying the over to the central powers. It would mountains, the other on the delta of the city for more than a year. Under the mean that the mainland would have to Danube which is almost impassable for joint pressure of the Germans in the be blockaded and it would mean that all an invading army, whereas the former front and Constantine in the rear they Greece would become the base of a new line would touch the Danube at a point might easily be driven in on their pre- submarine campaign. where a crossing would be possible un- pared lines. It is less probable that these It is argued that the maintenance of an der precisely the conditions that Macken- lines, covered by the fire of the allied allied army at Salonica is actually the sen met southwest of Bucharest. 1 fleets, couid be forced, but they could be best defense for Suez and that the necesWe may assume that the probability is ' contained by trench lines shutting them sity of meeting the possible advance of that the Germans will reach the Pruth ! in from the Struma to the Gulf of Sa-, the Sarrail army compels the central given the present condition of the Rou! lonica; and the only allied army in the powers to maintain an army in Macedomaninn ttrmv and thG inxDrot)£iT)iIitv of UfilRfitns would then t)© shut up 3.S com-1 Rnd not in Syria. This Ilfis boon sufficient Russian displacements to meet, pletely as if it were in a bottle, and no true up to the moment when the Roumanthe attack Will the Germans then en- matter how great its numerical strength, ian affair was settled, because the cendeavor to cross the Pruth and move on L the Bulgarian field army, supported by tral powers had always to guard against Kiev and Odessa from the south and th « Greek troops which followed Constan- ; the possibility of a Roumanian Irruption west? We know that an effort to reach tine, would be sufficient to hold it, stif- such as came three months ago But Odessa via Kiev has long been considered 1 f ® ned hy a few German regiments and a no such danger remains. If the barrafi he German eeneral staff But this was Plentiful supply of German heavy ar- army can be shepherded into Salonica by the German general start. Bui ims was £j llery and contained before its walls-and it
. . _ ^ should be remembered that only toward
Would Renew Threat to Suez. Monastir has the allied army made any To shut the allies up in front of Sa- P ro ^ e8s slnc ® lt retreated from Serbia.
before a Roumanian decision had been made, and the chief purpose was to seize the Russian province of Bessarabia and make it the price of Roumanian enlistment on the side of the central powers. It is a fact that the swift ruin of the Roumanians has awakened grave doubt In Petrograd. The entrance of Rou-
. . . , ^ ^ , a year ago- then some of the German lonica and put a permanent end to any i troops which were used against Rou-
Monday, Dec. ISth, The Aetna Trust and Savings Co’s. 1917 Christmas Money Club Starts.
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The Aetna Trust & Savings Co. 23-25 N. Pennsylvania Street
Savings Department Open Saturday Evening 6 to 8:30
OFFICERS
GEO. F. QUICK. President. EPW. E. STOUT. Vice-President WM. H. VOLLMER, Vice-President. GEO. A. KUHN, Sec. and Treas. J. S. GRIGGS, Asst Sec’y. HARRY M. GENTRY, Trust Officer.
DIRECTORS J. P. GOODRICH. GEO. F. QUICK, E. F. KITSELMAN, FRED A. SIMS. AUGUST M. KUHN.EDW. E. STOUT. J. M. POWELJU WM. H. VOLLMER
menace from this direction would free many thousand German and Austrian
mania greatly extended the length of the troops. It would make possible the car-
Russian front which has been hitherto
Russian front
based on the Baltic sea and the Roumanian frontier. It is now necessary for Russia to find men and guns to protect several hundred miles more of front, which have not been prepared in advance, because no one could conceive that Roumania would become a liability and an
rying out of the plan the Germans have never actually abandoned, of an invasion of Egypt by the Suez peninsula. And such a campaign, were it once well under way, would unquestionably put such a strain
„ , _ __ on British transport as to make an abanavenue of attack in so brief a time. There | donment ©f Salonica far from unlikely. ia no mistakioc the fact that along the ; . ,, . , — ., . .1 xLVfh a new and erave neril faces the For il should be remembered that the w ‘w.n. S P I chief explanation of the pracUcal failure I, the* German, and thalr Bulgar |«fra w la found In U» difTurklah «m.» are now .W. to forc^the , "^'[Yhn/s, MnaWorad It aeama highly inntlv the other positions be-I P robable that the next German operation
uii^dbat^unfortitted'gap Tn Vhe'ea^terni i toum^urpo^w? of corU^^n^^t^^Sarrail . _ I.. HI JH front, f nd e ^jy^feoXarabfe^o ^ and'the maSmuVhop^c^ih! expulsion « bl r bil >S resources of Britain; it would rush of flood quite comparable to t Qf the allies from the Ba i kans as the mean the claiming of new ships needed to 58S °To Occupy Odessa and B lev would ™ .‘ nd
mania could well be spared for a thrust toward Egypt, which would carry a very
real peril to Egypt.
It is true that Egypt has been still up to the present. But it is also true that recent events have combined to shake whatever prestige was left to the allies in the Mahometan world after Gallipoli and Kut-el-Amara. It is extremely unlikely that there will be any Egyptian rebellion until the British lines at Suez are in danger, but at the slightest sign of weaken-
ing the deluge may come.
British Could Not Hold Both.
Such an attack would not call for many Germans; it would be a campaign that would enlist the support and enthusiasm of the Osmanli. Even if it did not succeed, it would put a new strain on the
lery and German officers, with a few picked troops for stiffening, would sufflee. . , . ■ We have heard a very great deal about the blockade, and it has had a material effect on the progress of the waa*. But it Is equally true that the German submarine campaign is increasingly successful, that the losses of allied shipping are in-
forts failed, such a German venture might fail; but its effect on the world and on the allied spirit would be unmistakable, and it is at the allied spirit that Germany must strike. She can hardly expect to conquer peace now in Paris or Petrograd by physical occupation. Rather she must look for the victorious peace which she desires by connvincing her
creasing and, what is far more important , f oes that they can not win the war and and far less generally recognized, the j t ( 4al they must consent to discuss peace
shipping incident to the on the basis of German accomplishment.
The disaster of Roumania was one of the greatest in the whole history of the
strain on British
maintenance of enormous armies on the conditions of Britain and even of k ranee. Remember the history of the Napoleonic war recall how Napoleon, seeking to strike at British commerce, steadily extended his hold on the seaboard of Europe until he was the master of the sea front of the continent from Dantzig to Cattaro, and an interesting parallel will come to mind. Napoleon was seeking to close Europe to British commerce and
»> Hmffinate southern Rusria and Peninsula following the battle of Corun- j for France and Italy If the all'es thus briri & t0 terTns . a fo ® h ® could not b ® to . w don J "f t ?>,nort na in tho Napoleonic time Such an op- metals tor I ranee and Italy. If the allies reach w}th hls arra | eB . Germany is enC L°?? ^ V-L R Tt mTfirtaiivnf. ie ration vvould hav ® th ® character of that should persevere in their occupation of! deavor tng to bring Britain to terms under of the BlfliCK seB. it woum materia h rioiir tn thA Ytsxa’rfa nt cim,i*»»*<>*« i*- k Kao*- tisirta far from dissimilar. But she
feet the Russian campaign in Armenia, and even more remotely It might compel a recession of the whole Slav line from
the Baltic to the Black sea. Strain Would Be Enormous.
On the other hand, such a campaign would call for an enormous expenditure
defensive-offensive dear to the hearts of Salonica It would b the best move imag- ! conditions far from dissimilar. But she German generals; it would dispose of inable to compel evacution, because It is is seeking to accomplish this by putting what might become an eventual menace inconceivable that Britain would under- ~ 1 —
by attacking at the time and under the take to munition and maintain two great conditions most favorable to the Ger- armies in the east, particularly when one rn H 18 ’ , .. ... ' was vital to her own imperial unity and Meantime, what are the allies to do? the other an undeniable waste, approved All their efforts to settle the eastern on i y because of loyalty to unfortunate
the Dardanelles to friends.
on British shipping burdens it can not bear, and not by closing European ports to British commerce, as Napoleon did.
Effect on Allied Spirit
I do not believe that the occupation of Egypt by the Germans would bring Brit-
question and to open th<
'munitions The region to be R uaf5, * n ships and allied munitions have "iriT foolish to prophesy, and yet it ine u t c, T“ iw ", uu ‘ u
of men and munitions. 1 e eg on failed disastrously. The first effort, the seems to me, almost certain that the Ger- ain to terms. Just as all Napoleons ef-
invaded is almost destitute of roads or venture of the rillied fleets under Winston mans will at no distant date move against
termination of naval attacks when German submarines arrived. Gallipoli was the second failure. It was probably inevitable, had the Germans not made
railroads; it is now experiencing the severe winter season which sweeps over this country, and the character of this winter will becJ-ecalled by all who have read of Ihe Crimean campaign. The burden of occupying new countries, of protecting lines of communication, the strain on man power, these are circumstances that make it at least a question whether Germany will care to undertake the Odessa campaign, now that it can have no political consequences such as would have attended a similar campaign a year ago, when Roumania was still neutral.
There is another circumstance worth ; Belgrade-Sofla-Constantinople
may lead to a new German attack on Russia, and an effort by this attack to pu, tiussia out of the war; that is, to succeed in doing now what was not achieved in the summer of 1915, following the victory of the Dunajec. In this case we shall see a campaign with Kiev and Odessa as the immediate objectives. Personally, I do not think this will happen, because I do not believe Germany will care to run the risks In cost of men that It would entail. Germany’s position now recalls that of Napoleon after Wagram, although she has no such domination of the continent as he had and ha^ not succeeded in extorting a separate peace from any one of her foes, as Napoleon did. But with victorious armies she holds vast areas of Europe, and there is no present indication that she can be driven from her conquests in any time that Is even approximately near. Napoleon
threw similar and even greater advan-l tages away when ho undertook his campaign for Moscow. This campaign put a strain on French man-power which it | could not bear, and at one time destroyed French prestige and French loyalty to the I emperor, who Imposed such terrible sacrifices. The Cheaper Policy. Gemany may throw away her position as Napoleon did; that Is, she may be willing to risk throwing it away, as Napoleon was, to remove the same Russian enemy. But my own Judgment is that Germany will seek by much less expensive meth od* | to weaken the spirit and strain the re- j sources of her foes. To let the allies in' the west and in the east sacrifice hmdreds of thousands of men in sterile attacks on German and Austrian trenci en. | while German-led Turkish forces asuail Sues and possibly reach Cairo—this would) seem the cheaper-policy and not unposlbly the more profitable. As for the allies, they must now send ! new hosts to Salonica and tie up more thousands of tons of shipping, or else] confess that Salonica has proved a second Gallipoli and cut their losses by recalling BarraiI and abandoning the gallant Serbs for the time being, recognizing that th*| fate of Serbia will be decided by the cutcome of the war and not by any tenu >u* | occupation of Macedonian towns or mo mtains.
Churchill’s guidance, resulted in the loss Salonica and that this campaign will be of several battleships and the abrupt only the prelude to the far more serious
drive at Egypt I do not' believe that the Germans have ever Intended to abandon the march to Cairo; I know that they have continued to press their railroad
their thrust through Serbia, but this i construction in Syria and the Holy Land,
f
mentioning. The Bulgars and Turks were quite ready to join with the Germans and Austrians in defeating Roumania. for Roumania was the hereditary enemy of both, and the Roumanian decision to join, the allies carried an immediate peril to Sofia and an eventual danger to Con»stantinople. But. for both the Turk and the Bulgar. the allied army in Macedonia has now become the real peril, and the Bulgars. particularly, are likely to object to new sacrifices in Bessarabia which mav be attended by new allied successes in Macedonia, comparable with the recent capture of Monastir, which is dear to the heart of every Bulgar and the chief prize he hopes to bring home from his long
war.
King May Leave Greece. Aside from the opinions of her allies, Germany has also the appeal of King Constantine to consider. It Is practically certain now that he will lose his throne. It is probable that he will be driven out of his country, with such troops as remain faithful to him. If he can succeed in retreating with these troops northward to
thrust, added the destruction of Serbia to the disaster of Gallipoli.
s
Roumanian Plan Failed. For the last year the allies have been laboriously constructing an army and a campaign in the Balkans. The main purpose of this campaign was to get to the
railroad
and cut off the Turk from the central powers. Now% when the Sarrail army has only just reached Monastir, the last hope of success has vanished, for the real chance of success was based on the entrance of Roumania, and Roumania has come and gone, practically unaided by the Sarrail army. Today the communications between Berlin and Constantinople do not hang on the single thread of the Belgrade-Sofla-Stamboul railroad. The Danube is now open almost to Its mouth, and from the Bulgarian shores several railroads are available for the transport of munitions southward to the Turkish capital, while the occupation of Wajlachia puts at the disposal of the Germans several other railroads coming south from Hungary to the north bank of the Danube. Instead of one route the Germans now have several, and the cutting of the original line would have no serious consequences for the central powers. Actually the Sarrail army has been left in the air, just as Ian Hamilton's army at Gallipoli was left in the air when the Germans had crushed Serbia, enlisted Bui-
precisely as they have pushed to completion the great Bagdad tunnel near the Cilician gate. The announcement of the completion of this tunnel, if it is a statement of fact, may well explain why the Germans are now planning to attack Egvpt and why the previous thrusts have
been relatively insignificant.
Let us face the war situation as it exists and not as it is described by the press of either contending alliance. The war in Europe, aside from the Roumanian corner, is a deadlock, and it is highly probable that the Roumanian campaign, now that Roumanian effort is over, will end In a deadlock at the Pruth. Germany is feeling Increasingly the burden of defending her western front and holding her lines against Russia. She can hardly have the vast masses of men in reserve, masses that would be required for any campaign seeking a decision against the allies, now that Verdun has closed the
German expectation in the -west. Turks Would Bear Burden.
But if the war has become a war of exhaustion it is of utmost importance to Germany to increase as much as possible the strain on her foes, while keeping her own burdens as light as possible. I can think of no campaign better adapted to doing this than one directed against Egypt, after the Sarrail army has been contained in Salonica, there to be watched by Bulgars and Greeks, since the burden ui this campaign would be borne by the Turks wiilingiy. German artii-
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