Evening Republican, Volume 20, Number 252, Rensselaer, Jasper County, 20 October 1916 — DOPE SHEET FAVORS HUGHES [ARTICLE]

DOPE SHEET FAVORS HUGHES

I, Wilson Must Get 117 Electors In Fourteen Doubtful States, According to Dope.

With the presidential election but three weeks away, the managers of the two parties have settled down to the work of fighting for the crucial states. By crucial states we mean those that either Hughes or Wilson must carry in order to gain the presidency. They are included among the so-called doubtful statds, which in the past were never surely democratic or republican, and which at the present time appear as uncertaifi as in the past. There are 531 in the electoral college and a total of 266 is needed for victory. By counting the states that are sure to go Hughes, we find there are twenty-one, with a total of 210 electoral votes, and those counted- for total 149, which leaves fourteen with 172 electoral votes in the doubtful column. .

By the above figures it is easily seen that the task of the republican managers is somewhat easier than that of the democratic managers, for on these estimates, which are ed as. conservative, it is seen that Hughes mpist get only 56 of the 172 doubtful votes to win, while Wilson must get 172 in order to remain m the chair for another four years. The following table shows the situation as it now stands, and is regarded as a conservative guess. .HUGHES STATES AND VOTES.. Maine 6, Minnesota 12, New Hampshire 4, North Dakota 5, .Vermont 4, South Dakota 5, Massachusetts 18, Kansas 10, Connecticut 7, Wyoming 3, Rhodelslands,ldaho 4, Pennsylvania 38, Utah 4, Delaware 3, Washington 7, Michigan 15, Oregon 5, Illinois 29, California 13. .WILSON STATES AND VOTES.. Virginia 12, Mississippi 10, Kentucky 13, Louisiana 10, North Carolina 12, Oklahoma 10, South Carolina 9, Arkansas 9, Georgia 14, Tennessee 12, Alabama 12, Texas 20. DOUBTFUL STATES AND VOTES. New York 45, Nebraska 8, New Jersey 14, Col orado 6, Maryiand 8, New Mexico 3, West Virginia 8, Arizona 3, Ohio 24, Montana 4, Indiana “ 15, Wisconsin 13. A glance at the above list will show that Hughes needs only 56 vote;. New York has 45, and if these go to Hughes, even the -democratic managers admit that Wilson’s chances will be slim. The loss of both New York and Indiana, or New York and Ohio, even though he carries all the other states, would lose the presidency for Wilson. A victory for Hughes in New York alongi with—one or two of the smaller states will put him over. Of course the dope bucket is likely to be upset at any time in all lines, but we believe the above table is a very conservative guess and the states will probably go about as listed above. Hughes managers are claiming from 300 to 350 votes from the electoral college.