Democratic Sentinel, Volume 15, Number 31, Rensselaer, Jasper County, 21 August 1891 — EUROPE NEEDS WHEAT. [ARTICLE]

EUROPE NEEDS WHEAT.

THAT CEREAL AND RYE BOTH SHORT. | The United States, with Het Bounteous Crops, Mast Step Into the Breach—The Most Reliable Estimates Obtainable Show 881,000,000 Bushels Skort. Bradstrect's says: It Is too early to give anything better than a rough esti» mate of the wheat production of European countries for the current year t only a few official comparisons of thf! probable difference between this year’s and last year’s yield having appeared. With respect to Russia the most contradictory reports have been issued, but there is no doubt that tho wheat crop is a bad failure in many parts of the empire, and it seems within the mark to assess it at 15 per cent, less than last year s crop, which was officially put at 196,800,00 j bushels, reducing the quan-' tity to a little over 167,000,000 bushels.! Allowing 13,000,000 bushels for Poland,; as compared with 15,000,000 bushels for 1890, we have 180,000,000 bushels in' round numbers as the indicated crop of European Russia, including Poland. 1 Seeing that the consumption under ordinary circumstances would be at least 140,000,000 bushels, and that the faiure of tho rye harvest will increase tho consumption of wheat, while stocks of old wheat are unusually small, it seems a liberal allowance to reckon on an ex-* port surplus of 40,000,000 bushels. Noth* ing is substracted on account of the shortness of the rye crop in order to avoid exaggeration of the situation In' Russia. There is a good crop in Roumania,’ but not quitp equal to that of last year, 1 which was unofficially estimated at 64,*. 000,000 bushels. An even 60,000,000 may be allowed as a maximum. Roumania exported about 30,000,000 bushel# in 1890 and 30,000,000 may be put down’ for the current year. j Bulgaria and Sorvia are reported tq have, good crops, but there is no trust-* worthy information about these countries at present. Last year their total produce was estimated at about 46,000,f 000 bushels and 45,000,000 bushels may be allowed as a rough estimate for the current year and 12,000,000 bushels as the export. What the actual deficiency of the French wheat crop will be it is impossible to say, and estimates of authorities in that country have varied wijffi every change of weather. Last year’s yield was officially estimated at 338,000,000 bushels. Decreases ranging up to 120,* 000,000 bushels have been predicted, bnfl later accounts have been less pessimistic. The requirements from foreign sources may be put at about 100,000,000 bushels. In Germany the acreage is much Bmaller than it was last year. In Prussia alone the Minister of Agriculture reports the plowing up of over 460,000 acres, while the yield is put at 15 per cent less than that of 1890. If we set the recent improvement in crop prospects against the deficient area, and de-. duct 15 per cent, from last year’s crop of about 92,000,000 bushels, not including spelt, the present crop comes out at 78,200,000 bushels. A year’s consumption of whellt alone at the present time can scarcely be less than 105,000,000 bushels, and as the g-eat deficiency of the rye crop will necessitate the consumption of more wheat than usual, the requirements from foreign sources cannot well be put at less than 35,000,000 bushels. The Italian wheat crop was at one time reported to be 15 per cent below; last year’s good crop, which was official-* ly estimated at 123,000,00 bushels* Recent reports, however, are more favorable, and it is deemed probable that 115,000,000 bushels may be obtained. A year’s consumption, judging from a serious of recent crops and imports,! appears to be about 140,000 000 bushels, so that the figures just given show fii deficiency of 25,000,000 bushels. It is difficult to get trustworthy Information on Spanish crop prospects, or even the results. Tho last crop “was estimated at about 70,000,000 bushels, and as it was not a good one, the samq quantity may be allowed for the present year. In Portugal 8,000,000 bushela may be added, and the requirements of the two countries from foreign sources may be put at 16,000,000 bushels. Da* tails from other European countries, with whose above mentioned, will be* found in the following table, all that is necessary to explain being that Turkey is an importing country, apart from thA principalities, and that the wheat crops in Holland. Belgium and Denmark are all unquestionably deficient:

, BUSHELS „ Estimated Estimated Exp’t countries. Yield 9). yield ’9l. ex. ’9l-d.S Russia,lnc. F01d.211,800,000 183,000,000 43,000,90(5 Austria-HuLg’y..193,458,900 164,500,000 8,000 COO Roumania 64,000,000 60,000,090 80,000,010' Bulgarians.rvia 46,360,000 45,030,00 C 12,000,000 Totals exporting countries 515,258,000 449,500,000 90,000,000 United Kingdom. 75 994,000 70,000.000 145.000,000Franc 328 000,000 246,000 000 100,000 000 Germany 92,000,000 78.200,000 85,000,000 Italy 123,000,000 115,000,000 25,000,000 8. ain & Fortugal 78,000,000 78 000,000 16 000,000 Switzerland 2,400,000 2,200,000 8,000,000 Turkey 36,000,000 88,000,000 10,000,009 Rest Ol Europe.. 45,000,000 39,000,000 . 2,000,000 Totals 780,394,003 666,400,000 371.000,000 Estimated Estimated _. _ _ Yel 1 90. yield 91. ex. ’9l-83. Tot l.Euror e. 1,295,652,003 1,115,900,000 281,030,000 • Net imports. In my desire to avoid exaggeration of the deficiency in Europe, I am not sure that I have al.owed enough for the deflciency of the rye crop cise where than in; Germany. The crop is a bad one nearly; all over Europe, and unless wheat becomes so dear that the peasantry will be driven to the consumption of other kinds of grain to take the place of rye, there must be a large extra use of wheat If wo allow average exports from Indifc during the cereal year, including a portion of the surplus of next spring’a wheat—say 33,000,000 bushels—and suppose that the United States will spare for Europe 144,000,000 bushels, making--177, 000,000 bushels together, there will be, according to the estim&tod European deficiency, about 104,000,000 bushels toobtain from minor sources of supply! outside Europe. An English bishop has Just been confined in an insane asylum. He preached so oddly that attention was attracted and he was found to be mentally unbalanced. If “preaching oddly" constituted mental unbalance in this country tha preacher crop would be, it is feared, rather frost-bitten.— Minneapolis Journal > The World's Fair directors think thfera Is yet time to build an Eiffel tower Which shall be t< ward the Paris structure aa Os alO a wart That's right; we ion’% •ant any cheap, undersized lmltatiMi-* Aio uNg a uni Knickbodm. *"