Democratic Sentinel, Volume 7, Number 26, Rensselaer, Jasper County, 27 July 1883 — PRESIDENTIAL PROSPECTS. [ARTICLE]

PRESIDENTIAL PROSPECTS.

■, I ■ ■ ■ A Forecast as to the Coming Candidate for President. Blaine, Arthur, Tilden and McDonald Have the Largest Following. The New Yarik publishes a very comprehensive forecast of the Presidential ■ campaign. It covers seven and a half pages of that paper, and presents all anades of opinion. Early in June the Times sent letters to over 400 points in the thirty-eight States, asking answers to the following questions: L Who is most frequently spoken of by Republicans In your vicinity as their first choice for Presidential candidate in 1884? 2. What other names are mentioned? I a Who is most frequently mentioned by Democrats in your neighborhood as their first choice for Presidential candidate in 4. What other names are mentioned, in about what order as indicating their popularity? | The Timet says that answers have been ' received from 344 of these points, the number varying from forty-four in New York to one in Nevada, or an average of nine from each State. The attempt has been made to obtain the preferences of the people—the i voters—rather than the choice of the work- ! ers of political machinery. The information has been gathered by trustworthy men I of both parties, whose interests oblige them ; to keep thoroughly informed on political matters, and their reports show that they have made personal canvasses in order to present the drift of opinion. That they have given as they found ft is proved by the fact that in many instances the showing was not in accord with their own personal preferences. The result as given may be trusted, therefore, as accurately outlining the present desires of the members of the two great pAirtios. . The attention of the Republican party is now directed toward the following Presidential candidates, forty-one in number: Adams, Charles Fran- Hawley. Connecticut ctß,Jr.,Maßaachusettß.Hoyt, Pennsylvania. Allison, lowa. Kasson, lowa. Arthur, New York. Lincoln, Illinois. Blaine, Maine, Logan, Illinois. Conger, Michigan. Low, Seth, New York. Conkling, New York. MacVeagh, Wayne, Pa. Crook, Gen. Geo., Ohio. Miller, Samuel F., lowa. Cullom, Illinois. Oglesby, Dlinois. DavisTOavld, Illinois. Phelps, Wm. Walter,N.J. Edmunds, Vermont. Porter, Indiana. I Evarts, New York. Potts, F. A, New Jersey. 'Fi irchild, Wisconsin. Raum, Illinois. Foraker, Ohio. Seward, Clarence, N. Y. Foster, Ohio. Sheridan, P. H., Ohio. Frelinghuysen, N. J. Sherman, John, Ohio. Grant, New York. Sherman,Gen.W.T.,Ohio ' Gresham, Indiana. Teller, Colorado. Hale, Maine. J Washburne, Dlinois. Halsey, New Jersey. Wilson, James F., lowa. Harrison, Indiana. Windom, Minnesota. | Of these eighteen are mentioned in various sections of the thirty-eight States as i the first choice of the Republicans. Mr. Blaine, however, is ahead and shoulders in front of the others, being named as the preference at 101 or nearly one-third of the number of points where a choice is expressed. Apart from his own State he finds most iavor in the Middle and Western States, nearly all the great Republican I States, and his strength is probably greater ' than is thus indicated, as in many instances a preference is expressed for others in the belief that he will not enter the race. President Arthus is next in strength, and his friends are pretty evenly distributed , throughout the country, and the favorable feeling toward him is almost everywhere reported as increasing constantly. In the South the office-holders are noted as of course in his interest It is clearly shown I in the letters from, the South that a large part of, or indeed, the entire vote of that part of the country will be cast in the ' National Convention for Chester A. Arthur. There is no reasonable doubt to be enterl tained at present that the 366 votes of the 1 old slave-holding States will be given to the S resent incumbent of the Presidential chair. [r. Blaine and every other candidate must face this solid fact i Third in the contest is Mr. Edmunds, and 1 not much behind Mr. Arthur. His strength also-is very evenly distributed in the different States, and the expression in his favor perhaps more than in any other case appears to be spontaneous and due entirely to his merits He is stronger, indeed, as a second choice than as first, ana leads the other candidates when that question is considered. These three gentlemen received the voice of 224% of the 324 places which express a preference—Blaine 103, Arthur 64, Edmunds | Robert T. Lincoln stands pre-eminently among the new candidates, only three, Gen. Grant, John Sherman and Gen. Logan com- . ing between him and the leaders He is everywhere kindly spoken of, and his ability and honored name make him regarded I as a good man for the office. The possibiliI tv of his se ection is rarely left out of the discussions 4 The foDowing of all the gentlemen atux the three leaders is small, and in some cases merely the expressions of complimentary wishes for the aspirants I The number of aspirants for the Democratic nomination is forty, and their names are as follows: Bayard, Delaware. Kelly, New York. I Black, Pennsylvania. McClellan. New Jersey, i Brown, Georgia. McDonalAlndiana. Butler, Massachusetts. Morrison. Dlinois. Carlisle, Kentucky. Niblack, Indiana. . Cleveland, New York. Palmer, Dlinois. I Cox, New York. Parfcer. New Jersey. Dana, New York. Pattison, , Davis David, Dlinois Payne, Ohio. Eaton, Connecticut. Pendleton, Ohio. English, Indiana. Randall. Pennsylvania. Field, California. Randolph, New Jersey. Flower, New York. Thurman, Ohio. Hancock, New York. Tilden, New York. Harrison, Dlinois. Trumbull, Dlinois Hendricks, Indiana. Trunkey, Pennsylvania. j Hewitt, New York. Vilas, Wisconsin. | Hoadley, Ohio. Voorhees, Indiana. 1 Holman, Indiana. Wallace, Pennsylvania. I Jewett, New York. Whitbeck, Wm. F., DI. Eighteen of these stand forth as claimants of first choice. Samuel J. Tilden leads his party even more markedly than Blaine leads in the Republican feeling. Two-fifths of the points reporting award him first choice. McDonald comes next to Tilden, 72% points to the latter’s 120. Geographically the Eastern, Middle and extreme Western States alone disfavor him, and in these he is displaced mainly by Butler, Bayard and Thurman. He makes a very strong showing as second choice. Apparently he is looked upon as the next best man to Tilden. Bayard has a meagre foDowing, 31% points, and apparently a hopeless one, judging from the talk 8f his admirers With most of them his candidacy has become a treasured sentiment, a quadrennial sacrifice at the altar of friendship. | The aggressive Butler comes next. Mass- , achusetts sustains him, and that is about all . there is of him. Thurman has a very modest support, and : the field follows